2024-01-31 (ڿ - ݵ(Ƴ))
|
ݵ(Ƴ) |
|||||
: |
2023-12-31 |
2024-01-31 |
() |
ͷ |
|
|
Kospi: |
2,655.28 |
2,497.09 |
-158.19 |
-6.0% |
1.9% |
7.8% |
Kosdaq: |
866.57 |
799.24 |
-67.33 |
-7.8% |
9.7% |
1. 2024 1
߿ ¼ Ǵϰ ־ մϴ.
You need to have the courage to stand up
against the crowd, decide your position, and execute it.
- ũ ġ
1. 1 鼭
ֽĵ ְ 鼭 ູ Ǿϴ. ο ڻ갡ġ
ġ ְ ִٴ Ȱ п PBR ֽĵ ְ ϴ
Ʈ Ʊ Դϴ.
ܱ ż ϶ ŵ ã ۿ µ. ̴ ̵ ۳ ְ ö ֽĵ ŵϰ ġֿ شǴ ֽĵ żϴ
üŸſ ־ ()غϴ.
Kospi Ÿ ü 2024-01-01 ~ 2024-01-31 (: ) |
|||||
|
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
20241 |
ܱ |
-24.9 |
-22.5 |
-9.3 |
6.0 |
3.5 |
|
-22.9 |
-36.3 |
-11.8 |
-1.4 |
-6.3 |
|
45.4 |
62.2 |
20.8 |
-5.6 |
2.9 |
2. ũ ϶ ڻ ´µ. 1 ģ ó ϴ ġ ô밡 !
̴ϴ. 2010뿡 ־ٰ ϴ ִ,
2007 ġְ (?) ΰƴ
ϴ.
ݹ Ⱑ ٲ ְ PBR ֽ ۵
帧 PER ֽ ȯ Ǿ ϴ ٶ ɽ Ѻ մϴ. ֽĽ ָ ִ PBRֽĿ
ϰ غϴ.
PBR ֽ
ݱ ο , () ֽ ڻֶ ϴµ, ڻ(ȮϰԴ ڱں)
ְ ֽ ٷ PBR ֽԴϴ. PBR
մϴ.
PBR = ְ / ִڻ
Ǵ ðѾ / ڱں
̷ ġ 1 ֽ PBR ̶ֽ ϴµ, ġ ڻ갡ġ ֽԴϴ.
ֽ ġ ϰ ֽϴ.
ϴ ϴ 뿡 ϰų ƿ ս ֱ Դϴ. ̷ ܿ ġų ڻ Ա⸸ ϹǷ ؼ ƽϴ.
̺ 巹 ڵ ܼ PBR ֽĵ Ʈ
̱ ´ٸ ϰ , ܼ ϰ
Ҿմϴ. ڻ길 ƴ϶ ͱ ֽ
ȴٴ .
4 ǥ ϴ ֽĵ Ʈ
ϸ ̱ ø ִٰ ϸ ڻ굵 ϸ鼭 ֽϴ.
PER PBR
ϴ ֽ µ, Ͱġ ΰ(PER) ڻ갡ġ ؼ δٸ(PBR) ̶ֽ ̴ϴ. ų ϴ ð ں ƾ ϴ DZ ٸ, ΰ ŷǴ ֽ ġ ︮ ְ ٸ ֽϴ.
( ֽ ) Ϲ
DZ ϴ ֽ ϴ
° ǥε, ռ 3 ϸ
ſ ֽ Ƿ ݵ ʾƵ ˴ϴ.
ϴ ڹ ̸ 鿡 ΰ ȱ ֽ ƴϰ ġ
ְ ⸦ Ѵٴ ϴٰ մϴ. ġ ƹ, ̾ ̷ ϸ ڷ شٰ Ϸ־ϴ.
3. ذ ٲ ֽĽ ⸦ ٸ
Ź Ǹϱ⸦ ݺߴ . ù,
ݵ ̷ٴ, ϰ(+ 0.5%)
Ʈ 鼭(- 0.4%) ߽ϴ. ſ Ȯغҽϴ. 1 2 㿡 !
2010 ( ̿ؼ )ǥ μؼ ϰ ִµ, ڷḦ ù ͷ ű ص ͷ ͷ ؼ ǥ ϳ ϴ.
- ð ϳ ڿ
ٵ, ̷ ̳ ϴ ϸ ?^^
ͷ : |
||||||||||||
|
Kospi |
a. vs ڼͷ() |
b. vs ڼͷ(1) |
c. vs ڼͷ() |
||||||||
|
|
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
|
2010 |
1,682.77 |
1,690.62 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
0.7% |
-4.8% |
-1.5% |
3.3% |
21.9% |
26.7% |
4.8% |
|
2011 |
2,051.00 |
2,070.08 |
0.9% |
-0.7% |
-1.6% |
0.9% |
-1.8% |
-2.7% |
-11.0% |
-0.3% |
10.7% |
|
2012 |
1,825.74 |
1,826.37 |
0.0% |
1.2% |
1.2% |
7.1% |
5.7% |
-1.4% |
9.4% |
17.5% |
8.1% |
|
2013 |
1,997.05 |
2,031.10 |
1.7% |
0.3% |
-1.4% |
-1.8% |
3.2% |
5.0% |
0.7% |
25.6% |
24.9% |
|
2014 |
2,011.34 |
1,967.19 |
-2.2% |
-1.0% |
1.2% |
-3.5% |
-2.5% |
1.0% |
-4.8% |
32.6% |
37.4% |
|
2015 |
1,915.59 |
1,926.44 |
0.6% |
-1.1% |
-1.7% |
1.8% |
2.0% |
0.2% |
2.4% |
25.9% |
23.5% |
|
2016 |
1,961.31 |
1,918.76 |
-2.2% |
-1.1% |
1.1% |
-2.5% |
-3.4% |
-0.9% |
3.3% |
5.7% |
2.4% |
|
2017 |
2,026.46 |
2,026.46 |
0.0% |
-0.3% |
-0.3% |
2.0% |
0.5% |
-1.5% |
21.8% |
9.6% |
-12.2% |
|
2018 |
2,467.49 |
2,479.65 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
0.0% |
4.0% |
12.1% |
8.1% |
-17.3% |
10.7% |
28.0% |
|
2019 |
2,041.04 |
2,010.00 |
-1.5% |
0.4% |
1.9% |
8.0% |
5.2% |
-2.8% |
7.7% |
14.3% |
6.6% |
|
2020 |
2,197.67 |
2,175.17 |
-1.0% |
0.5% |
1.5% |
-3.6% |
-2.6% |
1.0% |
30.8% |
15.1% |
-15.7% |
|
2021 |
2,873.47 |
2,944.45 |
2.5% |
-0.4% |
-2.9% |
3.6% |
-1.8% |
-5.4% |
3.6% |
21.4% |
17.8% |
|
2022 |
2,977.65 |
2,988.77 |
0.4% |
0.0% |
-0.4% |
-10.6% |
-2.9% |
7.7% |
-24.9% |
-7.6% |
17.3% |
|
2023 |
2,236.40 |
2,225.67 |
-0.5% |
-1.7% |
-1.2% |
8.4% |
3.3% |
-5.1% |
18.7% |
16.6% |
-2.1% |
|
14 (2010~2023) |
0.0% |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
0.7% |
1.1% |
0.4% |
3.7% |
16.6% |
12.9% |
|||
2024 |
2,655.28 |
2,669.81 |
0.5% |
-0.4% |
-0.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
||
* ù°(a) ǥ
, °(b) ǥ 1, (c) ǥ ڼͷ ߽ϴ.
3-1. Դ Ҹ߳. ° Ǯ · Ѿ ù 14
ռ 7ȸ, 7ȸ , ջ δ
0.1% ֽϴ.
3-2. 1
, 7:7, Ƚδ
14 ջؼ ͷ 1.1% 0.7% 忡 0.4% ռϴ.
4. ǰ
1 ȿ ֽϴ. θ (ǵ ) ϴ 캾ϴ.
4-1. ϳ 1
ϸ ϰ 1 ϶ϸ 嵵 ϶Ѵٴ ǵ. 츮 14 ź ϴ.
- 2010 1
- 4.8% δ 21.9% ߰ 2020 - 3.6% 30.8% ν ֱ 14 · ÷Ƚϴ.
- ݸ鿡 2018 1 + 4.0% ͷ – 17.3% ߰ 2019
1 8.0% 7.7% ¿
ġ鼭 1 ø ͷ Ծϴ.
- 2008 ־̾ 2022 1 - 10.8%
߰ ͷ – 24.9%µ. ϶
ū Ҿ ͱ ƽϴ.
- ,
ͷ ̳ʽ 2011 2022, ־µ, 1
ͷ ̳ʽµ. 1 ͷ ̳ʽ
ٸ 5 ÷ ͷ Ƿ ū ǹ̸ ʿ Դϴ.
4-2. ٸ ϳ ذ ٲ ظ ´
/밨 1 ְ ٸ ·
ٴ ǵ. ŵߴ ֽ ʿ ٽ ż
Ѹ Ѵٴ ֽϴ.
ͷ(14 )
|
2010 ~ 2023 |
||
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
1 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
2 |
-0.3% |
2.0% |
2.3% |
3 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
0.2% |
4 |
1.9% |
4.5% |
2.6% |
5 |
-0.6% |
-0.2% |
0.4% |
6 |
-0.8% |
1.6% |
2.4% |
7 |
1.4% |
1.0% |
-0.4% |
8 |
-1.2% |
0.5% |
1.7% |
9 |
-0.3% |
0.5% |
0.8% |
10 |
-0.7% |
0.5% |
1.1% |
11 |
2.0% |
1.5% |
-0.5% |
12 |
1.3% |
0.4% |
-0.9% |
|
3.7% |
16.6% |
12.9% |
- 14 · , 0.7% 1 · 6°, ߰ ش˴ϴ.
- ڼͷ δ Աݵʿ е
4 ؼ 2, 3, 6, 11 ̾
6°Դϴ.
ĵ ǼŰ ߵ, 1 ȿ 17 ̽ ϳ ̰, ̷ ̵ֽ鳢
ø鼭 Ÿ , ǹ̸ ʿ Դϴ.
5. װ 츮 ô ɱ?
- ֽĿ ϴ ġڸ ϴ
⸦ ϰڽϱ.
- 2023
Գ ģٸ, ؿ
3000Ʈ Ŷ մϴ.
- Ͼ ֽĵ Գ ִ ̰ ٸ
ü ʹ Դϴ. ̵ йѴٸ
3000 ʹ װ. 3000 ÷ Ʒ ѵ
Ⱦ ̶ , ܶ Դϴ^^
- ġ ô밡 ? 2000 Ⱦϴ 2010~2019ó
Դϴ.
6. dz , ġڴ
ʰ ֽ ϴ. ǥϸ Žð 帧 Ǵ
⸦ . ٰŴ ݱ ؿ ̶ ̰ܳ Ŷ
ֽϴ. /ȸ ð Ѻ⸦
ʴ ڷμ ؾ 翬 Դϴ.
7. 2010 2023 14 1 ǥ ٽ Կ. ó 1 ϶ Ʈ ´ 2013, ֽϴ. ŭ
幮 ε, 0.7% ¿
ڼͷ 25.6% Ǹ߳. ص ڽϴ.
|
vs ڼͷ(1) |
vs ڼͷ() |
||||
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
Kospi |
ͷ |
|
2010 |
-4.8% |
-1.5% |
3.3% |
21.9% |
26.7% |
4.8% |
2011 |
0.9% |
-1.8% |
-2.7% |
-11.0% |
-0.3% |
10.7% |
2012 |
7.1% |
5.7% |
-1.4% |
9.4% |
17.5% |
8.1% |
2013 |
-1.8% |
3.2% |
5.0% |
0.7% |
25.6% |
24.9% |
2014 |
-3.5% |
-2.5% |
1.0% |
-4.8% |
32.6% |
37.4% |
2015 |
1.8% |
2.0% |
0.2% |
2.4% |
25.9% |
23.5% |
2016 |
-2.5% |
-3.4% |
-0.9% |
3.3% |
5.7% |
2.4% |
2017 |
2.0% |
0.5% |
-1.5% |
21.8% |
9.6% |
-12.2% |
2018 |
4.0% |
12.1% |
8.1% |
-17.3% |
10.7% |
28.0% |
2019 |
8.0% |
5.2% |
-2.8% |
7.7% |
14.3% |
6.6% |
2020 |
-3.6% |
-2.6% |
1.0% |
30.8% |
15.1% |
-15.7% |
2021 |
3.6% |
-1.8% |
-5.4% |
3.6% |
21.4% |
17.8% |
2022 |
-10.6% |
-2.9% |
7.7% |
-24.9% |
-7.6% |
17.3% |
2023 |
8.4% |
3.3% |
-5.1% |
18.7% |
16.6% |
-2.1% |
14 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
0.4% |
3.7% |
16.6% |
12.9% |
2024 |
-6.0% |
2.4% |
8.4% |
|
|
|
8. 1
Ѵ – 6.0% ϶ ݸ鿡 ݵ(Ƴ) ͷ + 1.9% Ҿ鼭 7.8% ̱ ֽϴ.
2.
ֽ
Ȳ (2024-01-31)
|
|
ֽ |
|
ͷ |
ó |
|||
|
żܰ |
|
簡 |
|
||||
Ȧ |
200 |
66,474 |
13,294,880 |
64,500 |
12,900,000 |
4.1% |
-3.0% |
|
ް͵ |
3,000 |
11,939 |
35,818,320 |
10,730 |
32,190,000 |
10.3% |
-10.1% |
|
â |
400 |
72,302 |
28,920,888 |
74,200 |
29,680,000 |
9.5% |
2.6% |
|
α |
700 |
23,889 |
16,721,963 |
24,100 |
16,870,000 |
5.4% |
0.9% |
|
α() |
1,000 |
21,950 |
21,950,000 |
19,920 |
19,920,000 |
6.4% |
-9.2% |
|
Zī |
300 |
29,554 |
8,866,320 |
33,000 |
9,900,000 |
3.2% |
11.7% |
|
ſ |
229 |
56,343 |
12,902,510 |
61,900 |
14,175,100 |
4.5% |
9.9% |
|
ſ() |
130 |
56,093 |
7,292,080 |
61,800 |
8,034,000 |
2.6% |
10.2% |
|
Ȧ |
10,000 |
3,616 |
36,156,868 |
3,130 |
31,300,000 |
10.0% |
-13.4% |
|
ڸȸ |
3,300 |
5,836 |
19,257,666 |
7,580 |
25,014,000 |
8.0% |
29.9% |
|
|
2,000 |
8,659 |
17,317,590 |
6,500 |
13,000,000 |
4.2% |
-24.9% |
|
Ȧ |
550 |
7,955 |
4,375,192 |
15,840 |
8,712,000 |
2.8% |
99.1% |
|
ѱڻŹ |
6,000 |
3,667 |
22,000,770 |
3,230 |
19,380,000 |
6.2% |
-11.9% |
|
HS |
6,000 |
6,736 |
40,417,880 |
6,050 |
36,300,000 |
11.6% |
-10.2% |
: |
KPXȦ |
300 |
63,500 |
19,050,000 |
53,800 |
16,140,000 |
5.2% |
-15.3% |
|
SNTȦ |
1,000 |
13,479 |
13,479,124 |
19,300 |
19,300,000 |
6.2% |
43.2% |
|
(R/P) |
|
|
727 |
|
727 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
317,822,778 |
|
312,815,827 |
100.0% |
-1.6% |
0 |
: |
307,012,503 |
ͷ: |
1.89% |
ֽ: |
100.0% |
|||
ͱ: |
5,803,324 |
: |
0.0% |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ź |
724 |
1 |
724 |
0 |
724 |
724 |
727 |
|
Ÿ
ŸŴ , ѹ Ǵ Ź 727 ԱݵǾϴ.
3. ̱ ǰŷȸ(SEC), ƮETF
- 1 11Ͽ
־ Դϴ.
츮 ں ǰ ŷ Ǿٸ鼭 ȸ Ȯα ߽ϴ.
- ڵ û ݹϰ ִٴ 簡 ̴ Ҹ
ũ ̷ ϹǷ ڽϴ.
- ϵ , , , ؼ, å!
- ѵ, ̱
Ʈ ݴ, ۰Ű ϱ ɱ?
- ۰Ŵ 츮 ڵ鿡Գ ̴ϱ
װ ̸ ϴ Ž ¸ ؾ߰.
å, [ڵ λ ó] İ 鼭 οߴ ۰ ٽ ;ϴ. ̾
۵, 2022 ѿ ־, 亯Դϴ.
Ʈ ٸ
ϴ. Ϸ ߽ϴ.
, , û ̴ Դϴ. Ʈ ο شմϴ.
ù°, ΰ ɼ ſ Ŀ ϴ. °, ý۰ ȭ ý Ա մϴ. °, ̱ ߱ û ̰ ϴ. ߱ ϰԵ Ʈ
߽ϴ. 츮 ̱ ϴٰ ߱ ξ ûմϴ.
ϴ , ǥ ݰ, ϱ Ŷմϴ.
濡 ִ ̱
ϰ ִµ, 1% Ѵٸ, 250 ̱ 1% ϰڽϴ. ̱ Ʈ 1% ϰ ִµ, 1% Ѵٸ, ̹ 250 ̱ Ʈ 1% ϰڽϴ. մϴ.
Ʈ ϰ
ִµ 25
Ѵٸ, ʰڽϴ.
Ʈ ڽϱ? Ʈ ε Ⱦƾ մϴ. Զ Ⱦƾ մϴ. ϱ.
Ʈ Ӵᰡ
ķ , Ʈο ƹ͵ ʽϴ.
ٷ ̰ ڻ
ڻ Դϴ. ڻ ݿ ־ մϴ. ڻ꿡 ̹ ᰡ Ǿϴ.
ϴ ° Ǿٴ Դϴ. Ʈ
鵵 ְ, Ḧ ì 鵵 ֽϴ.
ٸ ŷҿ ͼ Ÿմϴ. ŷҿ ϴ. ° ϸ鼭 ٲ Ͼ Դϴ.
ʿ å а İ ߴ,
Ʈο ǰ 淡, Ȱ ߴµ. ٽ ϸ,
100%, մϴ. δٸ, ϰ ϴ , ڽ ɷ¹
ʴ´ٴ ġ (ٶ)ڼ̱
Դϴ.
׳ ִ ҽ 1 15, ħ ϴ. 𰡵 ڻ翡 öп ߳ Ʈ ETF Ǹ ʴ´ٴ µ. ! Ҽ ƴ ټ ڷ ְ ;ߴ, 2019 ־ϴ.
,
- ִ ε ڲٸ
- ̻ϰ, и, ֽϴ.
- ־ , Ʈ
ٽ ̱ ǰڴٰ ̰!
4.
1. 2023
ֽĽ ƺ鼭 ƴ ǥ Ͼ
ֽĵ ø ſ ߸ ط ߽ϴ. ֽĽ ־İ ݹѴٸ, ϱ ƴٴ ǵ.
ذ ٲ (ǥ ݸϰ Ŷ
ְ ϶ϴ) ̴ մϴ. ӵ巹 ڽϰ (ߴܱ)ְ = + ɸ ߵ, ߿ ְ = ġ ⺻ ̷ õǴ Ȳ
ϴ.
ֽĽ 鼭 1990 ȭ Ҳ ǿ 2000 Ǹ鼭 IT ø ˴ϴ. ٸ ġ û Ŀٴ ?
ġ ̷ġ ͼ ְ ȭϴ ,
±⺸ٴ Ʋ ɼ ۿ ϴ. ñ/ ġ ãư Ͻϴ. ̹
ڰ.
2. 뵿 ϱ ̰ ƴٴ
ڸ ó , ̶
ϸ ʶ ִ մϴ. 㿡 ڷ õ ϰ ִ
ֽĵ ְ Ʈ ~ϰ .
ٽ ư Ʈ̴ , ٷ å а մϴ. Ÿϰ
ʵ ˷, ٷ å
ù ° ϰ Ź Ʈ̴ Ұϴ ġ [ ] ø鵵 ϳԴϴ.
̷ å д , Ʈ̴
ܸ鸸 Ǵߴٴ Ǿ ̾ Ǵµ. о߿ Ź
̷ﳽ ϴ κ ִµ, Ÿ 躸 մ,
, , ҷν
ؼ پ Ʈ̴, Ī ̶ ϴ Ʈ̴ ִ
ġ ϴ ٸ ϴ.
(ϴ ۷ οߴ)ū ̷ﳽ Ʈ̴, ũ ġ ű鼭, γϰ ִ ڵ鿡, ġ ġ 밡 츮
ִ 帮 մϴ.
迡 ϱ ϰ ڸ ʾ ȸ ĥ
ϴ. 츮 ˰ ִٰ 찡 ʹ ϴ. ̴ û ǼԴϴ.
ϸ ̵
ϴ ƿԽϱ?
̵
?
̴ ϴ
ѷ ΰ迡 ʽϴ. غ.
ȸ ȸ ƴմϴ. ߰ ݴ ϶ մϴ.
ġ ̴ ߸ ൿϱ ֱ Դϴ.
Ź Ʈ̴ ڽ Ǵ ϰ
̷ ? ʹ ʽϴ.
о Ź Ʈ̴ Ȳ߳? ġ
Ǵ ڶ ־ ︰ٴ ? ڴ Ѵϴ.
װ ִ ݾ ϳ ű鼭 1 Ĩϴ.
Ȳ ħϸ ִ.
If you can keep your head about you while others are
losing theirs, you can make a fortune.
- ó: , [ο The New Market Wizards in
1992, 2008]
: ұϰ ־, Ʈ̴ ϴ ֽ żϰ ϶ϴ ֽ ŵ Ǵ ŵϴ, شȭϸ ߳ ǴܵǸ Ͱ ϴ ڶ⺸ٴ ڷ νĵǾ ִٴ и Ӵϴ.
ٻ 鼭 ϰ ϴ 밡 ° ϴ.
ش ȸ ⸦ մϴ.
ڸȸ, , kpxȦ, sntȦ, Zī, â ֽϴ.
ȸ縦 Ͷ ֽø ϰڽϴ.
ǰϰ ູϼ ^^