繫п ֽ ġ ֽ 쿡 ̷ 帧 帧 ݿ 簡ġ ϴ. ̸ 帧ι̶ ϴµ, 1938 (John Burr Williams) ڰġ̷(The Theory of Investment Value) ֽ ġ ϴٴ Ұ ֽϴ.
帧 ϴ 䱸ͷ, Ϲ ݸ ˷ ֽϴ. ݸ 䱸ͷ Բ ϰ, ݴ 쿡 䱸ͷ ϴ.
ݸ Ͻ ̳ ݴа м ߿ϴ Ҿ(bottom-up) ڵ鿡Դ ٽ ƴմϴ. Ϲ ݸ ȯ Ҹ ϴ ֵ ǰ̱ մϴ.
ش 2022 ۵ ݸ λ ϴܶǰ ο ȭ ϴ ñⰡ ɼ Ůϴ. ̱ ߾ رݸ 2022 3 17 0.5% 0.25%p λ ֱ ǥ 2023 12 14 5.5% ŵ߽ϴ.
غ(FED) 2023 12 ȸǿ رݸ ϸ û߽ϴ. Ʒ FOMC(Federal Open Market Committee) رݸ ǥ ߰(Ǵ ǥ ) ǥ ݸ ǥԴϴ. 2023 Ÿ ֽϴ. 忡 ݸ ñ⳪ پ ǰߵ , ⼺ ū ̰ Դϴ.
ó ڿ ȣ ȯ Ǵ 2024, ͵ ? رݸ ٰ ڻ ġ ʽϴ. 'ְ Ϳ Ѵ' ⺻ Ѵٸ, ϴ 캸 µ ߿ Դϴ.
Ʒ ۳ ϴ 캻 ż̿, , ÷ Ǿϴ.
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1. 2024 ס 10% ̻ Ǵ 234
2. 15 PER 20 90
3. ðѾ 2000 ̻, 20
ż̿ ݵü ÷ û ϴ ϰ ġϴ ϰ ֽϴ. 8560, 346 ˴ϴ. ̴ 40%, 344% ġԴϴ. KB ֿ ֳθƮ ϸ "2024 ݵü Ŭ ߽ɿ ؿ Ȯ ǰ, 2 ̷ LGַ ̽ð ܵ SK 2 " ߽ϴ.
2431, 360 11%, 85% Ǿϴ. ǥ 23 3б IT ˻ ġ ȸ߽ϴ. ش Ƿ Ǵ Ǵ Ÿϴ.
žٿ(Top-down) ̵, Ҿ(Bottom-up) ̵ ġ ܸϰ ǻ ϴ. ۳ ġڿ Ȳ̾ ŭ, ش ġ ϱ ȯ ϴ.
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1. Expectations Investing P.10 (The Twlilight of Traditional Analysis)
2. United States Fed Funds Interest Rate (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate)
3. Federal Open Market Committee (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm)
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