ġڵ ʴ´ٰ մϴ. ̿ δ ° δ ʴٰ ϶ Ѵٸ ʴ´ٴ ϴ.
Ȯ ִ ֽĽ ü ƴ κٴ ƴ θ ľϴ ξ ٴ ̴.
-
ֽĿ ϴ پ ֽϴ. 忡 Ǵ ֽ ؼ ϴ ϳε. 忡 ϴ ETF ̿ؼ ս , ̷θ ˰ Ÿ ϴ.
ֽĿ , ֽ ã ƴϸ ϰ ֽĿ ϴ ϴ 帮 մϴ.
ڴ ֽĽ ϱ ľؼ ã ߿ ִ ã , ٷ Top-Down, ٹԴϴ.
ڴ ġ 繫ǥ мؼ ( Ȥ ̷)ġ ְ ֽ żϴ Դϴ. Bottom-Up, ٹ.
Top-Down Ȳ ľ ãƾ ϹǷ ƽϴ. Bottom-Up ġ DZ ϴ. 繫ǥ ġ ְ ؼ ã Ǵϱ. 4 Ȥ 3 ǥ ֽ ã ٷ Bottom-Up Դϴ.
κ ġ 밡 Bottom-Up մϴ. . ݸ Ͼ ȭο ̵ ġ ֽ ż 忡 ġ Ű մϴ.
Bottom-Up ſ ܼ 庸 ͷ ִ Ƿ ִ ڿ ڹ̶ մϴ. ´ ֽ 100% ä . ֽ 100% ϴ κ ڵ Ÿ̹ ְ ũ Ⱓ ü ڱⰣ 2 ~ 7% ҰϹǷ, ñ⸦ ĥ ũ Դϴ.
ڴ ܰŸ Ⱑ ƴ϶ ̴. ֽڿ ͷ κ ü ڱⰣ 2 ~ 7% ̳ ª Ⱓ ϹǷ 忡 ӹ Ѵ. Ÿ̹ ܸӸ ε. (14 29% ͷ ø)ݼ ְ ݵ ˰ ִ ġ ݵ忡 ݵ ̻ ظ ôٴ 츮 ̱̳, մϴ.
- 2010 [ġ ] İ ߿
ٸ Ǿų ġ ħüǾٴ Ǵ ִٸ ֽĺ ִٰ ϴ. , Ϻ , 100% ֽ ϴ ŸϿ ݺ õϴ ε.
̷ õ ϴ , ġ ۳ 3 ڷγ ҵͿ ħü û Ǯ ڱݰ ݸ ٰ Դϴ. ̷ ټ ֽĵ ϴ ̰.
̿ ؼ ֽ ġ ߴ ߴ մϴ. ġ ƹ, ̾ ڷ ̾ ڹ ߴ νε. ȴٰ ֽ ʿϴٴ Ϸݴϴ.
̾ ֽ: 50:50 ⺻ Ǹ ֽĺ ּ 25% ̰ ħüǸ ִ 75% ø ߽ϴ.
- 1929 Ȳ 鼭 ڿ 70% Ҿ ġ ߴٴ ̾ ġ ֽĺ ߴ .
̾ ڹ ν 45(1955~2000) 15.6% ͷ ÷Ƚϴ. Ⱓ S&P500 ͷ 5% ̻ ռ ˷. ȸ縦 ϴ , ν ߴµ. ġ ִ 캸 и ֽϴ.
ֽĽ ˰ ־ մϴ. ͷ PER ʳ? ֽĽ ִٸ, ſ Ȯؾ ?
Be aware of the level of the stock market. Are yields low and P-E ratios high? If the stock market historically high. Are people very optimistic etc?
! ġ ֽ ϰ ִٸ ֽ 100% ȿ ڹ̶ ϰ ͽϴ. Ư ؼ ڱ ҷ ̶ ͵ . ϴ ټ ֽ 100% ϰ ֽϴ.
å:
, [ ϶ A Zebra in Lion Country in 1997]
̾, [ The Intelligent Investor in 1973]
ũ , [ġ The Little Book of Value Investing in 2006]
ν, <ֽĽ忡 ʿ ε Factors needed to make money in the stock market in 1994>, ν ˻ϴ ̹ ԡ α ߰
մϴ. ູ Ǽ :)