| κ Դ ڷ ø ̴. ø ξ ̸, ̱ ξ ̴. ִ ڴ Ҽ Ұϴ. ijŻ(Giverny Capital) Ʈ Ŵ ҿ μ(Francois Rochon) ̱ ־ ̰ Ҽ ̴. װ ϴ μ ۷ι Ʈ(Rochon Global portfolio: ijŻ Ʈ ϰ ִ) 30 15.3% ͷ ÷ȴ. ̴ ġũ ų 5% ̻ ռ ̴. 1993 ۵ μ ۷ι Ʈ 2020 ͷ 4,969% Ѵ. Ⱓ ġũ (S&P 500-40%, Russell 2000-40%, MSCI EAFE-7%, S&P TSX-13% ) ͷ 1,103%.
ħ
ҿ μ µ , ڿ ȯ ʿ ִ. 2020 Դ Covid-19 ҵ Ⱓ װ ־ ո ħ ִ ʶ ִ.
ڷγ Ⱑ â ҿ μ ȸ Ʈ ⸦ غ ֽĽ ûϴ 2¥ ª Ʈʵ鿡 ´. dz ӿ ڵ ϰ ȳ Ҵ. ڵ 並 ִٸ, Ʈ İ غ ֵ Ǿ. 60 ־ ȸ ⸦ ѱ ϸ ο ظ ִٴ и ְ ִ(Ʒ ǥ ).
忡 ϴ , йڰ Ǵ ϶ дп ŵϴ Դϴ. ҿ μ, 2020 3 16.
<ǥ> ij --2020 3 16.
Ƿ ̾.
ҿ μ װ ϴ ൿ Ȯ 巯. , ͽκƮ(MastersInvest) Ʈ ʿ ϱ , ״ ũ ؼ ȸ ϴ 濡 츮 Ͽ û ־. 츮 Ͽ ִ ״ Ⲩ ð ־, ̸ 츮 ϸ鼭 , ö, ־.
츮 ȭ ȸ , ڸ , װ ŷ̶ ȸ鿡 , ð ʿ ־. Ʒ ̴.
ó ΰ
̼ ع Ȳ ġ ð ִٸ, ڴ ϰ ־ մϴ. ڱ ִٸ, ؾ մϴ.
̼: ͷ ϱ
κ ̼ ͷ ٰ̾ մϴ. Ƶ鿩 մϴ. ó Ϻ ֽ ó, ̵ ֽ ϸ鼭, ſ ݸ 50, 60, Ȥ 70 ϴ ȭ ֽϴ.
ͷ ֽϴ. ֽĵ , 췮 ֽĵ ŷǰ ֽϴ. ֽĵ ϱ Ѵٸ ͷ ִٴ ͵ Ƶ鿩 մϴ. ̳ʽ ͷ ϴ ƴմϴ.
üμ S&P 500 , 5Ⱓ, ڸ 6% ̻ Ѽͷ ø Դϴ. 6% ͷ ƴմϴٸ, 10 ͷ ϸ ͷ и ƴմϴ.
ȸ ִ
ü ̼ Ƶ δ ̼ Ǹ 츮 ã ֽϴ ǵ Ʈ Ѵٸ, ̻ ø Դϴ. (Markel: NYSE-MKL) ֽϴ. Ǹ ε ϰ ִ ϴ. ̼ǿ ŷǰ ִٰ ϳԴϴ.
ֿ Ͽ
Ϲ ݸ ΰ ̴ ֽ, ֵ ణ ߽ϴٸ, ڵ ۿ ֽϴ. ̳ ֽ ƴϱ ڵ ϰ ;ϴ ֽ ƴմϴ. ϴ , ̰, ̸, ְ, 濵 Ǹϰ, ڱںͷ(ROE) , ̼ ϸ, Բ ̶ Դϴ.
츮 ũƸī(NYSE-BAC) Ǹü̽(NYSE-JPM) ֽ ϰ ֽϴ. ſ 濵ǰ 繫µ ߰մϴ. ֱ ֽ ݵϱ ߽ϴٸ, 5 ֽ ص ϰ ֽϴ.
ֿ Ͽ
ָ ϴ ݴ ʽϴ. Ϻ ָ ߽ϴ. 1994 ijŻ â (Intel) ũνý(Sun Microsystems) ϰ ־ϴ. , ũνý 츦 , 1994 Ǹ ȸ翴 ̸ ſ ̼ǿ ż ÷Ƚϴ. ũνý Ŭ(Oracle) ü ϰ ֱ , ó, 20 ó, ָ ü ƴմϴ.
̽ϰ : ܼ ̴̻
̽ϰ Ȳ ٸٰ մϴ. ̵ ʽϴ. ̵ ϰ , Ʈũ Դϴ. ̵ Ư 귣带 ȹߴٰ մϴ. ̵ ϵ Ʈ Ǹϴ ó ȭ ΰ ̶ ʽϴ.
̽ , 25 ؿ ŷǰ ִµ, ȸ ſ ϰ ֽϴ. 5 15~20% ˴ϴ. ̸ ϸ ̼ Դϴ. ̴ ɼó óǾ óϴ (clean earnings) Դϴ. 40, 50迡 ŷǴ ʽϴ[ɼ ó ʴ Ϲȸ(non-GAPP) ״ ȣ ʽϴ. ɼ ϴ մϴ]. ̽ ̼δ ʰ ſ ϴٰ մϴ.
αú: ڵ
ڵ αú(Progressive: NYSE-PGR) 20 ÷ 20 ȸ ſ մϴ. ߿ 20 ʽϴ. ֽĿ ӵ ݵ ƾ մϴ.
: ϳ °踦 پ
( Ʈ) ܼ ϵ ǰ ̶̻ մϴ. ȭ õ ִ ϳ °Դϴ. 20 ó Ʈ ϻȰ ξ ߿մϴ. ϻȰ ſ Ҽ ϵ Ʈ ǰ ֽϴ. 15 ̳ 20 ȭ ٲٴ ū ƴϾ ó ū Ǿϴ. ſ Ǹϴٰ մϴ. ε ڽ ̸ ũ ο ϴµ, 쵵 Դϴ. ̵ ̹ ̶, ε ũ մϴ.
[: Ʒ Ư ũ(valuewalk.com) 4 19 Դϴ. ֽĿ ǰ Դϴ.]
* ó: Investment Master Class(http://mastersinvest.com/), MASTER SERIES: FRANCOIS ROCHON," 2021 4 19, https://www.valuewalk.com/master-series-francois-rochon/
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