| Ʒ ġ÷Ŭ 22 ƴ Դϴ. ؿ ֽĿ ظ Ұϰ ΰ Ϲ ȸ մϴ. ġ÷Ŭ Ʒ ؿֽ 2~3ȸ Ұϸ Ʈ ǥ ÷ Դϴ.
[ : ڿ Ư ̱ ũ(valuewalk.com) Ʈ м 2~3 Ұմϴ. ̱ Ȳ ظ ּ ߰ Դϴ. ũ ̱ ǥ ġ Ʈ ϳ ġڿ پ ڷḦ մϴ.]
ּ - 3б ----------------------------------
22 3б ǥ߽ϴ. 忹ġ پѴ ȣ ½ϴ(5 б ). 3б 87.7(+45% yoy), 8.1(+210% yoy), ͷ 9.2% ߽ϴ. 14.5(+50.8% yoy, +76.3% qoq) б ְġ ߽ϴ.
(ó : Z)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
ְ , ̷ ̻ Ⱦƾ ȭ
¦ ϳ . Ʒ ǥó (NASDAQ: TSLA) ְ ؿ 4 ش ϱ?
[1] ְ : ϱ?
Covid-19 ҵ ó ְ, Ȯ 2013̴.
ȸ S ְ 360% ߴ. ڵ ô븦 ʹ ռ ȴٴ ˰ Ǿ. 6 ְ ü ߴ.
ֱ ڵ ٽ 2013 Ȳ Ƴְ ִ ϴ. ڵ ̷γ ̻Ρ Ⱦƾ ȭ ִ ر ְ ÷ȴ.
̿ ϰ, ְ ǹ 캸 .
ڵüμ 尡ġ
ݿ 尡ġ(ðѾ) 3,930 Ѵ. ̴ ִ ڵ翴 Ÿ 尡ġ 2質 ̴.
۳ Ÿ 1,074 ڵ ݸ, ʴ ü 36 7,500 õǾ. ұϰ, ȸ 尡ġ ̷ ū ̰ ϴ ϱ?
Ȱ , ̸ ξ ø ֱ ϱ? ٸ ̷ ̸ Ϻδ ִ. ̹ ٿ , ڵ ǸŸ ξ ø ִ Ÿ.
Ÿ ڵ 19,000̸, 1 0.06 ø ִ(ͷ 6%).
ݸ, ̺ ξ 63,000̴. ڸ ߴ κ б 1 0.015 Ұߴ(ͷ 1.5%).
꿡 , 1 1,200 Ǹؾ߸ Ÿ ȴ.
[2] Ÿ ? 1200 Ⱦƾ
ڵ簡 ƴ϶ ϴ ִ. ̸, ġ Ǿ Ѵٴ ̴. ٸ, μ 尡ġ .
μ 尡ġ
̱ .
⼭ ġ θ ̴ ġ ǥ ϳ PEG (ְ = PER EPS ) ̴. PEG ⺻ PER ǥ ǥ ִ.
PEG ֽ PER ̼ ǥ. PER PEG , ݴ PEG . PEG , Ϲ 1 ŭ , 1 ŭ .
Ʒ ǥ , Ƹ, , ø, PEG ̴.
[3] Ŵ PEG
ǥ ֵ, ְ ѳ ִ ٸ 麸 5 ̻̳ ̴. ̷ Ŵ ؾ ϴ ˾ƺ غô.
, ̷ Ŵ PEG ߱ ؼ 1,300 Ⱦƾ ϴ Դ. ̰ ̷ζ ϱ?
ֳ?
Ѿ , Ϳ ū ִٴ ϰ Ѵ. ǥϴ ġ (BEV) װ ÷ ̺긮 (PHEV) ġ.
̺긮 η ε, ̺긮 ʰ ִ. 谡 ǥϴ κ ʹ 並 ũ ϰ ִ ̴.
[4] ۷ι ; PHEV 츦
( : )
ǥ 尡ġ ȭϱ ؼ о߸ ؾ Ѵٴ ǹѴ. ϰ, ﵵ ȭ ̴.
ڵü õ ϰ , ߰ 꿡 ϴ ̴.
ٰ 츦 . Ŵ ڵ ٰ λ¿ ȸ ID.3 9 ϰ Ǹ ε ߴ. ڸ 븣-- ִ -- 3X Ǹŷ Ѿ ִ ̴.
߱ BYD ִ. 7 BYD ȸ (Han) , ̸ δ. 2 40,000 ̻ ֹ ߱ ְ Ʈ ȴ.
ٸ ڵȸ鵵 ׳ ִ ƴϴ.
ƹ
--ڵμ μ-- ְ ȭϴ ɼ .
ӽũ װ ϰ ִ Ͽ , ְ ̴. ̷ ӽũ ڽŵ ְ Ѵٴ ̴.
100 ؿ ŷ , ӽũ ƮͿ ְ ʹ ١ ִ. ְ 4質 ̴.
ٸ , μ ǽ ̴. <>
* ó: ɺþ(Dan Runkevicius), 꽺 ϴ ֳθƮ, TESLA HAS TO SELL MORE CARS THAN IS EVEN THEORETICALLY POSSIBLE," 2020 10 19, https://www.valuewalk.com/2020/10/teslas-market-value-car-sales/
( 1)