OCI : Ը
츮 ۰ 濡 ġ ִ. ڷμ Ǯ(Pool) ۴ٴ ƽ µ, Ư ް Ʈ塯 ϴ Ǵ ڱ ̵ Ű ƴ. ֶ ̸ ڵ Ӹ ¿. о߿ ϴ ǥ ̸ ü .
, ¾籤
ȭ , ̻ȭź ¿ ̴. ߿ ¾籤 dz° Բ ް ִ. ٸ Ͽ ¾籤 δ (1) ϸ鼭 ¾ ̿ϰ (2) dz° Ư̳ ȯ濡 ū (3) Ը Ӹ ƴ϶ ġ ó Һ ٱȭ ڷ ϴ Ʈ忡 ︮ ̴.
¾籤 ٽ ܰ
ܰε, ¾籤 ̸ å 䰡 ϰ ִ ̴. ¾籤 ܰ ū κ ϴ Ǹ̴. ۿ Ǹ 60% ̻ ϰ ְ, BOS(Balance Of System, ġ ϴ ý ) Ư ʱ ΰǺ ο̰ ܰ ϰ ʴ. ᱹ Ǹ ¾籤 ܰ ٽ̴.
OCI Ǹ CAPA 2, ¾籤(ݵü Ǹ . Ϲ ¾籤뺸 , ݵü . OCI ݵü Eleven-9 , ¾籤θ Ǹ ) Ǹ CAPA M/S 20% Hemlock 1̴. δ M/S 20% ϸ鼭 θ Ű ǥ̴.
Ư ǰ ʱ ̵ ¾籤 Ǹ ü 忡 Ǹ ͼ ߿ ̴. Ǹ Contract Spot , ȭϴ Contract Spot . Contract(OCI , OCI Ǹŷ 80% ŷ) $49, Spot $72 ̴. Ǹ ؼ ٴ ̳, Commodity Ư ɼ ǰ ͼ ǴѴ.
Ǹ ü ߿ϴ. 1 OCI ̷ (1) ٸ OCI Leading Company ϸ OCI ܰ Contract ü Ǵ ɼ ʴ. OCI α ü ܰ Ͽ ȭų ִ. (2) ߸ ٸ OCI α ü ֵϳ, а Chicken Game ӵǸ鼭 Ȳ ִ. (3) ó ް Ǹ ܰ Grid Parity ϶ϴ ̴.
α Ǹ ü ȯ
Ȳ غ ڸ ̱ First Solar CdTe ȭϸ ϰ , Ը ʹ ۾ ǹ ̴. First Solar ϰ, ġȸ糪 Һ 忡 ڸ Ǹ Ѵٴ ܿ ̰ ݸ ϴٸ ( ں ȿ ) ڸ . 嵵 ⼺ ٲٱ⺸ٴ ȭŰ ϴٰ ϰ ִ.
Grid Parity Ϻ å ֵѸ ̶ , ʴ. ÷̾ ð ְ, ܰ 鼭 ȭϿ ڿ ܰ迡 ٴ ǰ 켼ϴ. 2010 Ϲݱ ΰ (, Ż ) ؼϱ Ѵ.
ó ÷̾ þ Soft Market ʰ ÿ Ǹ о߿ Ư¡ ܳµ Ը, ö ȭ װ̴. ߱ Ǹ CAPA 1/3̰ ̴ ü Ŀ ִ , Ǹ ݿ (OCI α ü ̰ $40 3, հ $30 2) ϴ ̴.
ɼ ʴ. ߰ KCC KAM Ǽܰ迡 ־ , Zȭа LGƮ ߿ ִ. ̵ ϴ CAPA α ø ִĿ ؼ ȸ̰, 츮 Ǹ ϱ⺸ٴ ū ڱݷ° Ư ɷ ̶ Ÿϴ.
Ǹ
иƼ չܰ Ǵ ȭḦ ̿ ܰ ܰ Ѵ. ȭ ܰ 55/kwh, ܰ 150/kwh, ¾籤 220/kwhε, ´ܰ 4.25% ϰ ¾籤 ý ȿ 17.5% ȴ. , Ż, ĶϾƴ 2012, 2015, 2020 谡 иƼ ȴ. ¾籤 ܰ 180 ϸ 츮 ¾籤 ƹ .
߿ OCI Ǹ , ִ°̴. Ǹ , , ƿƼ . е κ µ (1) Ը Ű ƿƼ ϰų ٿ ְ (2) ȿ ° (TriChioro Silane Mono Silane ȭŰ 10% ۿ ȿ ʰ, ٽ ü ġȯǹǷ ؼ ƿƼ ҿ) (3) Ը Ȯ뿡 ǰ п Ը Ѵ.
̴ α ü شϴ ̾߱Ⱑ , OCI Ƕ ϴ OCIƼ ϰ ֱ Hemlock, Wacker ִٰ Ǵܵȴ. Ǹܰ ȭǶ 迭ȭ OCI ̿ܿ MEMC REC ۿ .
OCI Ǹ ܰ- ִ. иƼ ܰ BOS $2/kwh, $1/kwh̴. Ǹ $20/kg Ѵ.
ڸ Ѵٸ Ȳ ־ ġ 츦 Ͽ ó ż صΰ, ǥ δ . Ŀ Ǹ 忡 ֽؾ ϸ, Ǹ иǾ δٸ ؾ ̴.
Ÿ
OCI(2012 PER 15.3) ¾籤 üο ִ ȸ (1) OCI 迭迡 ִ OCIƼ, ؼַ (2) ü ġ ã ִ Ƽ, SKC (3) ֿ ϴ ּϾ (4) 迭ȭ Ը 븮 ߰ з ִ.
OCIƼ(2012 PER 9.1) Ƕ Ư о߿ ְ a-Si ڸ 忡 а ̱ 鿡 OCI ٰ ִ. ؼַ Ϲ װ ȸ, ְ ̿, ̿ OCIκ Ǹ ̴.
Ƽ(2012 PER 7.4) ȸ ް ϱ ڸ Ϸ Sellers Market ִ. SKC(2012 PER 6.9) ¾籤 ʸ ʷ Ͽȭ ߾ü ӵ ȴ. ٸ ¾籤 ũ ƽ ̴. ּϾ(2012 PER 8.6) Ƽ̿ ¾籤 CAPEX Ͼ Ȯ ܰλ ÿ ϴ. Ư ڸ, Ͽ ó ٺȭǾ ִ ̴. ߰ ȸ ؾ ϹǷ ܷ Ѵ.
VIPڹ (mwmtmw@gmail.com)
ڷ Ϲ ڿ ش Ұϱ Ͽ ۼǾϴ. ߺ̾ڹ ǰ߰ ٸ ֽϴ.
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