Ÿ̾: ڵ 絵 Ÿ̾ ?
• ̵
Ÿ̾
Ÿ̾ ڵ 4 ÷ Ǵ ʼ ǰ̴. ڵ Ǵ OE(Original Equipment) 20~30%,
ְ üϴ RE(Replacement Equipment) 70~80% ϴµ, RE ͼ ξ . OE ϼ Ŀ ǰϸ 귮 ¿ȴ.
ݸ RE ̱, ߱ 䰡 ǰϸ, ǸŸ ôϱ Ѵ. RE UIO(Unit In Operation: ) տŸ Ǵµ, ߱ ﱹ Ǹſ ڵ Ȯ밡 ̱ ð 帥 ڿ RE .
* տŸ ϴ и̱ Ǹſ ݺ
(ó: CEIC, )
Ÿ̾ ̰ ΰǺ ̷. õ ( 12%) ݵ ũ ٸ ġ ʴ´. ܱδ õ ͼ ġ ̳, ͷ Ϳ ֵ, λ ݵ ǰ ݿ ݿȴ. ǰ ϶ ʱ ϶ ñ ͼ ȭ ϴ ̴.
[ǥ3]ѱŸ̾ 뱸 ( 100%)
(ó: Quantiwise, VIPڹ)
[ǥ4]̱ Ÿ̾
(ó: Datastream, US department of labor, KTB)
[ǥ5]Ÿ̾ü ó
Ÿ̾ü (1) ʼҺμ Һ װ (2) ݺٴ Ȯ Ű (3) Ǿ ֱ ̴. 귣尡ġ ǰ, ü λ ϴ Ϲ̴. Big 3 긴, ̽, ̰̾, 2nd tier ƼŻ, Ƿ, ѱŸ̾ ȣŸ̾ 3rd tier зǰ ִ.
ū Ϲ̿ ߱ ü̴ ǰ̶ õ ̳, Big 3 100̶ 2nd tier 80~90, 3rd tier 70~80 ̶ Ѵ. 귣尡ġ Űٴ ǰ̰ ʰ ǿ ִٴ ȴ.
[ǥ6]߱ Ÿ̾
[ǥ7]귣尡ġ °
(ó: Ű)
Ÿ̾
Ÿ̾ ġ CAPEX ʿϰ 帧 ʴٴ ִ. غ, ֿ ڻ̶ ʰ ִٴ ڻμ ū Ʈ̴. CAPEX Ⱦ ѡ ڻ Ǵ 忡 ؾ ϴ ̰, ROE ų ִٸ ڻָ ݹ纸 ξ ̶ ִ. Ƶδ (ROE ) ƴϴ.
Ʒ ѱŸ̾ CAPEX 100.6% Ѵٴ Ÿ ִ. 帧 δ 1995 2009 14 22.2% ROIC ϰ ִ. ȷٴ ´´. ۿ ϼü Ŀ ϰ, OE ä ⺻ RE ÿ ȿ ŰǷ ŸƮ 俹 ̾ ̴.
[ǥ8]ѱŸ̾ CAPEX ȿ
[ǥ9]ѱŸ̾
帧 ӿ Ʋ. äǰ äȸ Matchingǰ ڻ굵 ( ǰ ٴ ) ؿ Ұϴ.
[ǥ10]帧
[ǥ11]۷ι ǰ
ڵ No. 1 ȴٸ
ڴ 2009 7 ִ. ؿ Ȳŵ ǰ ־, 忡 ݽŹϴ ⿴. ? ƹ Level-up ݷ ʴ´.
[ǥ12]
[ǥ13]ڵ ְ
ְ ݴŻ ݿѴ. (Valuation Play ϸ) 700 Top 3 ̶ ´ ߱ 3 ǥ , ̻ (Ÿ 15%) ǹ̴. ٽ ̴.
[ǥ14] ֿ ڵǰ
(ó: Fuji Chimera Research, KB)
Ÿ̾ ٷ 硯 Ѵ. RE Ÿ̾ Ǹ 3 ü Ѵ. ܼϰ ȸ( Ȳ ϸ ȸⰡ ߴٴ ־ ƴ) 3 ִ. A/S ϴ ִ. 鼭 ڰȮ ִ ѱ ڵ 忡 ˸ ִٴ ϴ.
[ǥ15]ϼ, Ÿ̾
•
Ÿ̾ ڿ ̴. 簡 ѱ, ȣ, ؼ ̳ ִ. ŷµ ٸ. ѱŸ̾ 귣尡ġ ǰ, ȣŸ̾ ڰ ϴ. ؼŸ̾ ְ ͼ 强 ڶϴ ȸ̴. ̿ܿ ֽ Ÿ̾ ִ.
[ǥ16]Ÿ̾ ְ ֿ亯 (2002~)
߿ ټ ڰ Ÿ̾ ݿ ֵѸ Cyclical ٴ ̴. ð ؿ , ȸ . ΰ 信 ο ǥ ȴ ָ ް ̴.
ڷ Ϲ ڿ ش Ұϱ Ͽ ۼǾϴ. ߺ̾ڹ ǰ߰ ٸ ֽϴ.
VIPڹ ֳθƮ (mwmtmw@naver.com)
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