PBR: ƮνŰ
PBR ϴ.
ڴ PBRڸ ȣѴ. ϰ ʿ ̴. ݳ PBRڸ ϴٰ и Ҵ. PBR 0.2Ϸ ̷ݿ ߴٰ Ǵ ٶ 1000 ս Ҵ.
弱(Mr.Market) ѹ Ȥ ܸ Ҵ. ū ս Ⱥ ֻ Ͽ. ƴϳ ٸ Ϲݱ 躸̰ Ȳ̾. ̷ Ҵ. 躸 PBR 0.2Ϸ ϶ߴٰ Ǿ.
ذ ȸ簡 PBR̶ PBR ̴. ٸ PBR ִ ? ̷ ǹ ִ ־. PBR Ȯؾ üũƮ Ѵ.
PBRڴ ڻ ǻؼ ϴ ̴. ̵ PBRڴ 繫ǥ(ǥ) ڻ꿡 Ͱ꼭 帧ǥ 帧 PBR ̴.
ΰ?
2000 Piotroski Journal of Accounting Research Value Investing̶ Ѵ. Piotroski PBRڸε 7.5%̻ ʰ ȮϿ. PBRڸ ȭϴ Ͽ. PBRֽ 0 9 äϿ ֽİ ֽĿ 1Ⱓ Ͽ Ͽ.
|
|
|
ͼ |
ROA | ROA 0 ũ 1 0 |
ROA | ݳROA > ROA ̸ 1 ƴϸ 0 | |
Ȱ帧 | Ȱ帧 0 ũ 1 ƴϸ 0 | |
緮 | Ȱ帧 > ̸ 1 ƴϸ 0 | |
ä ȭ | ݳ ä > ä ̸ 0 ƴϸ 1 | |
ȭ | ݳ > ̸ 1 ƴϸ 0 | |
ֽļ ȭ | ڸ 0 ƴϸ 1 | |
ȿ |
ͷ ȭ | ݳ ͷ > ͷ ̸ 1 ƴϸ 0 |
ڻȸ ȭ | ݳ ڻȸ > ڻȸ ̸ 1 ƴϸ 0 |
Ǵ ǥ . ϰ شϸ 1, ƴϸ 0 óȴ. ROA(ڻͷ) 0 ũ 1, 0 Ͽ 9 0 9 οȴ.
̸ 츮 POSCO 2009 7, ġ ︳ǰ 7, 8 ´. ݸ鿡 ̷ 2008 4, 2009 3 ´. 躸̵ 3, 5 Ҵ. 5 ̻ ȣϰ 5 ϴ ҷ Ǵܵȴ. ( 5 ϵ ֽ ִ.)
|
POSCO |
︳ǰ |
|
̷ |
躸 | |||||
08 |
09 |
08 |
09 |
08 |
09 |
08 |
09 |
08 |
09 | |
PBR |
1.1 |
1.62 |
0.38 |
0.5 |
0.62 |
0.66 |
0.46 |
0.91 |
0.18 |
0.76 |
ROA |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
ROA |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
Ȱ帧 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
緮 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
äȭ |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
ȭ |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
ֽļǺȭ |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
ͷǺȭ |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
ڻȸ |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
* ǥ ڰ º ͷ ͷ Ͽ.
Piotroski ǥ 췮 ҷ Ѵ. PBR Piotroski ǥ ̿Ͽ з ڸ ϸ ũ ̴.
ڼ
ٸ ڰ ? Piotroski 1976 1996 ̱ ų Ͽ Ʈ üϴ ڽùķ̼ Ͽ. 켱 PBR 20% 1 , 2 9 ô ä Ͽ.
|
ͷ |
ʰͷ |
ġ |
0 |
11.20% |
-6.10% |
57 |
1 |
7.30% |
-10.20% |
339 |
2 |
15.90% |
-1.50% |
859 |
3 |
15.90% |
-1.50% |
1618 |
4 |
20.20% |
2.60% |
2462 |
5 |
23.40% |
5.30% |
2787 |
6 |
29.40% |
11.20% |
2579 |
7 |
30.40% |
11.60% |
1894 |
8 |
30.40% |
12.70% |
1115 |
9 |
34.10% |
15.80% |
333 |
* ڰ Ͽ ° ʾ ణ ̴ .
ڰ ߴ. 9 ͷ 34%̰ ֽĽü 15.8% ʰ Ͽ. 4 ̻ 庸 Ͽ. ݸ鿡 3 ϴ 庸 Ȯ ִ. ߿ PBR ƴ϶ PBR̸鼭 ٸ Ʈ ƾ Ѵٴ ̴. ٽ ̸鼭 μ, , ƾ ȥȰ ູ ִ.
ȭϴ ڱ
Fama French PBR ȿ PBR ߿ ǥ Ǿ. PBRε ڵ Ȯν ־. Piotroski ڱ ȭ ߴ.
Piotroski ǥ PBR Բ ͼ, ȿ ؾ ٰ ϰ ִ. ᱹ PBR̸鼭 ͵ ϰ ä 鼭 ͵ ȿ ϸ ū Ѵ.
ٸ ںе 帧 ͺ ƾ Ѵٴ Ǿ Ͻ ̴. ȸп 帧 ̸ 緮̶ Ѵ. 帧 ͺ ƾ ٰ Ѵ. ϰڴ. ̾߱ϸ . ϴ ̹ Ծ. ŷ ִٴ ǹ̴.
ä ڿε ߿ ̴. ä ̳ ڸ 1 ̴. ä ڴ ڱݼ䰡 ִٴ ǹ̴. ڱݼ䰡 ִٴ ü ƴϴ. ٸ 췮 ڱݼḦ ü ذϴ ݸ ν ڳ ä ذѴ.
Piotroski м(ROE) ̿ ȴ. 繫 ̿Ͽ üȭϴ ġ ȿϴٰ ȴ. ̷ Į Ұϰڴ. BPRڳ PERó ܼ ڱ õǰ ִ.
ϴ. ڻ(繫ǥ), (Ͱ꼭) ְ 谡 װ̴. õֱ, ᱹ å ϰ å ͰǴ ó, õ ᱹ 繫ǥ Ͱ꼭 繫ǥ ϰ Ͱȴ.
PBRڸ ϱ ǥ Űܺ ٶ. ϱ ʰ Ǵ Ȯϴ ó. ٸ õ( ) ̴. õ( ) ƴϴ.
(: Piotroski Ұ å [õڵ], [ڿ ɸ] ֽϴ. LGҿ ø ѵ濬 ֽϴ.)
'̷' ߴ ʴ Ÿ ߴ ε. λ īϿ콺 Ѵٴ 뿡 ϰ ӽϴ^^ ȸʳ , ̼ Ҵ ¥ Ѵٴ, ͵ 8 ô.... ̰ ̾ϴ.
http://www.chicagobooth.edu/faculty/selectedpapers/sp84.pdf ð ۼϽŰ ϴٸ Ÿ° Ǿ Դϴ. ĸ ġ PBR õ Ÿ ֱ ణ ̰ ְڳ.
帳ϴ.
9 ڵ ãƺ ý ?
ٸ ϰ ãƺ ִ õ ִ ϱ?
ϴ Դϴ.
ڿ Դϴ. ݸ ٷ ּ ^^;