۷ι ø ڵ Ա <> ƮƮ ӴϸŴ 12 ֱ ְ . ̵ ǰ ȴ. κ ϴ Ϻ Ŵ ǰ ƴ. Ŵ コɾ ֿ ָ ȣѴٰ , Ϻδ ֿ ŷ ֽĿ ߴ.
(John Neff), 𰡵 ݵ Ŵ
"⼭ 'ħü(recession)' ħü ʽϴ. ȭ ༼ ۷ι 忡 ̱ ȭŰ ƴ϶ ̱ ħϰ ־.
PER(ְͷ) ϴµ PER κ ƴ϶ PER ü ν ִ ȸ ֱ . ̰ 31 ݵ带 ־ ̶ϴ.
1 ϼ, ο ϱ ߽ϴ. ϳ ڳʸ(COP)ε, ִ 85~89 ȾҴ . ̹ ϶忡 ְ 70 Ʒ и淡 ٽ 鿴ϴ.
Ʈ(STX) ̹ ε ߰ . ְ ϰ µ ֶ ϶ ä Դϴ. ְ ϸ鼭 PER 7 ر . Ʈ 12 ϰ ֶϴ. PER 13迴ٸ ߰ ʾ ̴ϴ.
ֵ ϴ. (GGC) ߴµ ȭȸ. μպ ϰ ä ״µ ְ 3.0 зȾ. żϱ ߴµ ֿ ְ 5.90 . ͷ."
۸(Leon Cooperman), 常轺 ġ塤ް
" ȭǰ ִ Դϴ. ħü ɼ ̶ ϴ. ̸ Ͱ 50% Ȯ ο ̴ϴ. ſ ɰ ħü Ÿ ʴ´ٸ ŷ ̼ ϰ ֽϴ.
ְ ̴ϴ. ý . ڸ ϰ ʹٸ ϰ ʽÿ. ݴ ϰ ݿ ŷǴ 췮ַ ݰ ϼ.
ڿ ſ ߿ κԴϴ. ü ֽĽ ϱ.
"
ũ ϸ(Christopher Ailman), CalSTRS(ĶϾ ) ְå(CIO)
"츮 ķ ̱ ֽ ٿԽϴ. ֱ Ÿ ŵ ż ȸ ߴٰ Ǵ߽ϴ. дп ֽ 츮 ̱ ֽ 鿴.
ڵ鿡 и Ÿ ʴ ̴ϴ. ׳ ̶ ڱ. 2007 ߰, ̷ ̹ ϶ ǰ ̶ ؾ߰.
۷ι лڴ ּϰԵ Ǿ. ̱ ٸ ؿ ֽ ũ- ϴ. ۷ι ֽ ϳ ڻ Ǿ .
ٸ Ʈ ٸ ڻ ߰ϰ ʹٸ ̸¡ ϳ ̴ϴ. ̸¡ ĥ ¼ ٴ Դϴ. Ϸʷ, ߱ ϰ Ǿ ֽϴ.
ݸ ̳ ̱ ǵ źź Ǵ ȸ ִٰ ϴ."
Ŭ ŸϸƮ(Michael Steinhardt), Ʈ κƮƮ ȸ
" ڵ鿡 εݵ峪 ETF(ݵ) ǰ ϶ մϴ. ̷ ǰ ᰡ ƴ϶ ϰ, dzմϴ. 鿡 մϴ.
ETF Ȱϱ ͷ شȭϴ ֽϴ. , ܼ ðѾ ߿ ϴ ƴ϶ ̳ ݴп ٰ ߰ϴ . ״ ݾƿ? ̷ ϸ ڿ ġڸ ־. ġڴ Ư ֽĽ ."
Ʈ ƿ(Whitney Tilson), T2 Ʈʽ
"㿡 ϰ ڰ ;? ڱ ũ ̿ ־θ . Ƹ 5 ΰ ؾ ͷ ̴ϴ. ݰ д 忡 ū ø ֽϴ. ٸ ְ ؽ Ƴ ִ ڿ شǴ ̰.
, ֱ 츮 þ Ȧ(SHLD) ߽ϴ. ֽĽ ߸ ϰ ִٴ Ǵܿ. ֱ þ Ȧ ִ 110 ŷǰ ִµ, 츮 簡ġ ִ 250 Ѵٰ Ǵմϴ.
þ Ȧ ϱ ̾, ְ 130 ķ ְ . ְ Ұ 85 и ־ϴ. ް ְ ϶ 츮 ٲ ʾҰ, ִ 85 ݰ ߰ ż ȸ ߴϴ."
Ƽ(Jeff Mortimer), κƮƮ ŴƮ ְå(CIO)
Ȳҿ ϸ ˴ϴ. ڵ Ϸ翡 600Ʈ ̸ ϰ . ̰ ݴп ū Ѽ ɸ 並 Ű Դϴ.
ڵ 10~20% ֽ ڰ DZ ؾ ϴ ̶ ؾ մϴ. δ Ʈ ȿ ݵ ìܾ մϴ.
϶忡 Ⱦƾ Ѵٴ йڰ ٸ ȣ ϰ Ʈ 鿩 ʽÿ. Ƹ ġ Ŀٶ ũ Ȱ ϴ.
(Nouriel Roubini), RGEʹ ȸ
"̻ Ʈ̳ ϵ巣̳ ϴ ȭΰ ƴմϴ. ϵ巣 Ÿ Դϴ. ̸ 'ħü' 12 ߽ϴ. ħü ؽ ̶ մϴ.
ֳϸ ̱ Һڵ ä ä 鼭 Һ ÷ȱ . ̱ Һ GDP ϴ 70% ̸ϴ. ý ر ũ ֽϴ.
ֽ ũ ڻ ϴ ϴ åԴϴ. Ư ֽ ۽ ӿ ū ս ҷ ֽϴ.
ʽÿ. ý ħü ٴڿ ߽ϴ. 6 1 20% ܷ մϴ. ϸ ں ս ̴ϴ."
(Bill Stone), PNC ŴƮ ְ
"츮 ɸ ̾߱⸦ ϴ. ɸ ڷ սǷ ִ ݺ ̻ ũٰ ϴ±.
ֽĽ ϶ ʵ ϴ ߿մϴ. ϶ϸ ս մϴ. ϶忡 ֽ ø ־ մϴ.
コɾ Դϴ."
ε帮Խ(Bob Rodriguez), ۽Ʈ ۽ ij ְ濵(CEO)
"Ʈ 43% ä ֽϴ. ڻ ΰ Ѻ Դϴ. ſ ؼҵ ʾҰ, ݱ ذå̶ ͵ ַ ƴ϶ å Դϴ.
ſ ⸦ ʷ ݸ ƴմϴ. ݸ ذ ̶ ϴ ? ̱ ȸ ξå ٽ ȸ ϰ ֽϴ. ִ ξå ʹ ȿ̶ ֽϴ.
̳İ? ڻ갡ġ ְ ֱ ū ϴ. Dz Ŀ(FL) ִ 10 з, (Jo-Ann Stores) ִ 25 ܿ ŷǾ 9 ̲.
ҿ Ȳ̶ Ҹ Դϴ. 츮 ó Ȳ ϻ ʽϴ. ֽ ص ϴٴ Ǵ Ϸ Ѵٰ մϴ."
γε ķķ(Ron Muhlenkamp), ķķ ǥ ķķ ݵ Ʈ Ŵ
"̱ ħüǰ ֳ? Ѵٸ ȴٰ ؾ߰. ̹ DZ ϴ. ڸ ħü µ ƴϵ ũ ϴ.
ֱ Ұ ſ ٷ ۾ Ⱓ Դϴ. ȯ ̰ Ŭ ̾ٸ 츮 Ŭ ʱ ܰ迡 ִ ̰, 6~7 ߴ ȸ ̴ϴ."
(Ken Heebner), ij ν ŴƮ , CGMƼݵ Ʈ Ŵ
" Դϴ. ̱ ߴ ͺ ټ ̰ ħü ̾ ̶ ʽϴ. Ÿ ȭ ǵ ۷ι Դϴ. Ư ι ̾ Դϴ.
̱ غ̻ȸ(FRB) ν ̱ ġ ּȭ ϵ ġ ̶ ̰ ְ, ⼭ ۿ Ѵٸ ȭ ġ 鼭 ǰ ø ǰ.
ﱹ ü ̷ ε ̻ ϴ. ֱٱ ﱹ ڸ ϴ ؿܿ ԵǴ ں ߽ϴ. ̿ ÿ û Ը ڵ Ȱ ־. ̵ Ը ڸ Ų ؿܿ ԵǴ ں̾ϴ.
. ̵ Ը ڸ ϰ ְ, ̻ ؿ ں ʽϴ."
Ÿ (Mustafa Sagun), ۷ι κͽ ְå
"Ʈ © Ģ , Ģ Ű ϼ. コɾ ȣմϴ. αȭ ô뿡 ó̱ ϰ, ٸ Һ簡 پ Ǿǰ ϴٴ Ư ϰ ֱ մϴ.
۷ι Ʈ嵵 ϰ µ ̰ ̱ Դϴ. ȭ Ḧ ϴ ȣմϴ. ſ źε ϰ ֱ ."
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