- - File : Lazy Beats the Street.doc
ȳϼ. α 500ȸ Ѵµ ø ⲯ ø Դϴ.
̰ п θ Ͽϴ. , ΰ Ƴ 3 pf ϰ ִµ, ̰ е鿡 ϸ ߰ Ƿ¿ ϸ ø ֽϴ. Ƿִ е ġŷϷ ٿ Ծ.
ù۷ ø motley fool Ͽ ƺ P/B article Ƽ Ÿ øϴ.
<PBR Ͽ>
1.ü Ǵϴ Ǹ(low pbr νڻ, ͼ Ÿ), ROE Ͽ ġ ؾ
2.ں ū , , ں о ->ֽĿ analogy Zȭ(),,浿
3.ε ڻ꿡 ΰġ ð ->,︢,,sbs
4.MSFT ں ǹ̰ ->,ϱȹ,Ķ̽
5.anheuser busch ڻ 쿡 ְ Ƿ ̸ Ͽ ؾ->ſ,KT,,ص,ְ.......motley fool
÷ ÷ ι° ̴ Ͻñ.......
2~5 ø õ Ź帳ϴ.
оּż ϴ.
ƽô Ź帳ϴ.
ں ̴µ...
ڱں ɼ ־ ?.....
ũ Ʈ 쿡 ũμƮ 1Ϸ ִٸ ġ ȸ Ǵµ... Ʈ ߵǴ ڻ ִµٰ ַ GAAP ڻ з ʴ ͵( R&D, ɷ ) δ ڻ ǹ̸ ؾ ϴ ־ PBRδ ȸ ڻ ٰ dz.
4 ְ BPS ϱ ٰ ̸ Դϴ. ̶ ں ϴ ɸ´ PBR ˴ϴ.
߿ ROE 20%̻, PBR 2̻ ηȽϴ.
4 1 ټ 帮 ̱.
4 MSFT ϽŴ ݼ ڻ 90b ϰ ְ ڻ 10b ڻ(IP) balance sheet Ÿ ʴ ٴ Դϴ. ˱δ ̷ ڻ ص MSFT pbr 6 ̻ ˰ ֱ, 忡 ipġ ߽ϸ ں ǹ̴ ϴ.
5 ڻֺ ڻָ 忡 ϴ Ͽ pbr, roe ؾ ְ ִ´ٴ Դϴ. ڻ pbr, roe ϶ Դϴ. ȸ 츦 µ KT
ϰڽϴ. ڱں 7.7, 1.2 0.6 Ͽϴ. 25% ̻ ڻָ ִ 54k ߽ϴ. ̸ Ͽ bv=7.7->12, roe=15%->10% ϸ ǰڱ. ٸȸ bv ϴµ KT ⵿ پ ̶ ϴ.
˼ϱ. Ͻ÷ ÷ Ͻð ڷḦ ã
ñ⸦ ٶϴ.
ݼ ڻ 90B, ִ 9 ְڱ.
簡 25.
2005. 2б ڻ 71B
ں 48B
12B.
ROE 25%.
MSFT ȸä 5% ,
Max PBR = 25/5 = 5.
ݼ ڻ̳ IP ̷ְ PBR 5 ɴϴ.
PBR ȸ ڻ, ڻ ں ( ں 100% ̶ .) ӵ ִĿ ִٰ ֽϴ.
κ Cyclical ֽĵ Ӽ ª PBR 1 ܸ ް.
ɷ ϴ ƴ϶ ؿ PBR Ա淡 ǰ Դϴ. Ȥ ٸ ǰ ִٸ ħ ֽñ ٶϴ. Finance ƴ϶...