ַθ ϰ ۼغ ε ص ø ̴ ÷ϴ. ణ̳ ϴµ Ǿ մϴ. õ ƴ ϴ.
ַθȣ
1.
ַθȣ 1972 ȣſݰ 1999 ũ ְִ ٲ鼭 ȣ ȣ , 2002 ַθſ ְִ ѹ ٲ鼭 ݰ Ǿ.
ִ ַθſ 1999 ,,ϳ,ѹ Ͽ ä߽ ϴ ȸ̴. ַθȣ ǥ̻ ȸ ַθſ ַθAMC ǥ̻絵 ϰ ִ ÿ ַθſ ̴ִ.
2. ֿ Ȱ
൵ Ϲ , ž ַ ϴµ ַθ ⿹ 90%̻ ϰ, Ϲڱݴ, ַϸ ξ, ŸäǸ ϰ ִ.
̳ʽ νȭ ɼ ŸäǸ CP(), NPL(Ϳ)äǸ Ѵ. 80%̻ NPL äǰ20%̰ κ ַθſ ä߽ Ƿϰ Ǹ ߽ ַθſ 22.5-30% ߽ɼḦ ִ Ǿִ. 2003 12 ַθſ 5686 νäǿ ä߽ Ƿ ° 2003 ַθȣ Ÿä900 NPL 800 ̹Ƿ 뷫 äǰ 14% ִ. (2004 12 744, Ÿä 1038£ ä߽ɿ뿪Ƿ)
3. 繫
|
200106 |
200206 |
200306 |
200406 |
200412 |
ڻѰ |
3,633 |
4,201 |
6,166 |
10,418 |
13,031 |
ġ |
216 |
318 |
418 |
980 |
820 |
ä |
1,681 |
2,713 |
4,534 |
8,179 |
10,932 |
ڻ |
687 |
408 |
356 |
709 |
699 |
Ÿڻ |
615 |
536 |
758 |
428 |
355 |
äѰ |
3,249 |
3,857 |
5,787 |
9,777 |
12,370 |
|
3,008 |
3,706 |
5,580 |
9,466 |
11,967 |
Ÿä |
147 |
151 |
206 |
311 |
403 |
ںѰ |
383 |
344 |
379 |
641 |
661 |
ַθ 2003 ӵ ð ִ. 2003 ȸ Ӱ ˸ Ѵٰ . ں ӵ ϴ ߿ ֱ BIS ū پ 2004 12 BIS 10.5̴. 8̸̻ ̶ ǴϹǷ ƴ϶ Ǵܵdz ʿ䰡 ְڴ.
ֱ ݱݸ Ϲ ݸ̰ پ 2004 5.6%ݱݸ 2005 4.8-5% ν ӵ پ δ..
4.
32 ȭ .( )
|
|
ä Ѿ |
|
|
|
| |||
ξ |
34ݱ |
1,766 |
72 |
4.08 |
|
33 |
1,655 |
70 |
4.2 |
|
32 |
1,457 |
77 |
5.3 |
Ϲڱݴ |
34ݱ |
7,418 |
144 |
1.95 |
|
33 |
4,878 |
52 |
1.1 |
|
32 |
2,083 |
15 |
0.7 |
|
34ݱ |
1,287 |
494 |
38.39 |
|
33 |
1,278 |
469 |
36.7 |
|
32 |
1,083 |
224 |
20.7 |
Ÿä |
34ݱ |
1,115 |
31 |
2.81 |
|
33 |
1,003 |
51 |
5.1 |
|
32 |
74 |
|
0.5 |
̼ |
34ݱ |
478 |
186 |
38.99 |
|
33 |
528 |
185 |
35.1 |
|
32 |
618 |
177 |
28.7 |
հ |
34ݱ |
12,276 |
961 |
7.8 |
|
33 |
9,441 |
862 |
9.1 |
|
32 |
5,426 |
521 |
9.6 |
Ϲڱݴ δ Ͽ ü ϶Ͽ ִ.
ະ Ͽ .
|
ַθ |
ѱ |
Ź |
Ѽ | ||||
|
ä Ѿ |
|
ä Ѿ |
|
ä Ѿ |
|
ä Ѿ |
|
|
|
|
| |||||
ξ |
1,176 |
4.08 |
922 |
5.6 |
63 |
3.7 |
1,188 |
9.2 |
ݾ׳ |
52 |
55.54 |
14 |
12.6 |
23 |
29.3 |
329 |
25.1 |
ݴ㺸 |
31 |
0.5 |
38 |
0.5 |
5 |
0.5 |
106 |
0.4 |
Ϲڱݴ |
7,418 |
1.95 |
8,485 |
4 |
902 |
4.2 |
14,233 |
4.6 |
|
1,287 |
38.39 |
173 |
23.1 |
11 |
20.7 |
2,326 |
32 |
Ÿä |
1,115 |
2.81 |
1,138 |
7.5 |
0 |
24.2 |
26 |
20 |
|
12,276 |
7.8 |
10,786 |
5 |
1,007 |
5 |
18,218 |
8.8 |
ַθ 7.8 ٸ δ. Ÿ ຸ ̸ ϴ Ϲڱݴ Ÿ ຸ ٴ ִ. Ϲڱݴ 31 ްϰ δ.
|
ַθ |
ѱ |
|
Ź |
Ѽ | ||||||||||
|
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
BISڱں |
18.5 |
12.2 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
21.9 |
20.3 |
17.6 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
Ͽź |
9.2 |
10.5 |
8.2 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
8.6 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
17.4 |
9.0 |
10.8 |
12.5 |
üü |
13.2 |
11.6 |
|
15.3 |
19.2 |
|
17.4 |
17.6 |
|
13.1 |
19.9 |
|
16.0 |
16.1 |
|
Ҿſݾ |
1,033 |
1,145 |
1,166 |
349 |
91 |
51 |
1,606 |
1,538 |
1,470 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2,590 |
2,387 |
2,330 |
Ҿſü |
36.6 |
53.3 |
54.3 |
44.0 |
44.2 |
54.0 |
28.5 |
33.0 |
42.5 |
63.7 |
58.6 |
80.4 |
31.2 |
33.0 |
65.8 |
Ѵݾ |
4,806 |
8,903 |
11,672 |
4,930 |
8,313 |
10,786 |
10,065 |
12,972 |
14,712 |
868 |
1,054 |
1,007 |
15,021 |
16,215 |
18,244 |
|
27.8 |
39.1 |
119.43 |
38.65 |
30.41 |
149.4 |
48.9 |
47.6 |
38.7 |
29.5 |
27.6 |
87.7 |
24.1 |
58.6 |
135.0 |
|
86.1 |
94.1 |
98.4 |
96.96 |
83.15 |
91.0 |
96.1 |
93.4 |
97.1 |
81.8 |
104.1 |
99.5 |
84.7 |
83.0 |
82.1 |
(ڷ : ȣ߾ȸ)
ַθ Ѽ Ҿſü ̴. ൵ ü ̴. ѱ ü Ҿ״ι ũ ̴. ü 2004 9 ü 24%ε ȸϰ ִ. ѱ Ź ü ϰ ִ. ź 2004 6 ü 12.2%ε κ ȸϴ ̴. Ź Ѽ ֱ ź ϰ ִ.
5. ͼ
|
30 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
34ݱ |
ѱ |
|
Ź |
Ѽ |
|
339 |
449 |
676 |
1,454 |
851 |
852 |
714 |
37 |
1054 |
ڼ |
226 |
363 |
572 |
1,297 |
787 |
788 |
679 |
37 |
1,001 |
Ÿä |
0 |
1 |
7 |
368 |
211 |
151 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
5 |
41 |
85 |
148 |
62 |
28 |
9 |
0 |
45 |
|
490 |
528 |
711 |
1,173 |
818 |
697 |
608 |
60 |
1,139 |
ں |
330 |
277 |
244 |
459 |
303 |
330 |
404 |
28 |
612 |
|
3 |
36 |
42 |
138 |
99 |
29 |
18 |
0 |
8 |
ջ |
0 |
48 |
273 |
390 |
280 |
239 |
48 |
21 |
351 |
ǸźͰ |
112 |
117 |
116 |
152 |
117 |
71 |
92 |
8 |
128 |
|
-151 |
-78 |
-35 |
280 |
32 |
155 |
106 |
-23 |
-85 |
ܼ |
28 |
52 |
40 |
8 |
17 |
31 |
24 |
2 |
13 |
ܺ |
1 |
25 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
|
-124 |
-51 |
4 |
286 |
49 |
183 |
130 |
-23 |
-81 |
|
-121 |
-28 |
45 |
264 |
25 |
129 |
93 |
-17 |
-81 |
ðѾ(2005.3.24) |
|
|
|
|
230 |
489 |
281 |
60 |
536 |
ִ() |
-2,721 |
-301 |
511 |
2,980 |
284 |
2,452 |
1,932 |
-1,377 |
-709 |
PER |
|
|
|
|
4.60 |
1.90 |
1.51 |
|
|
ðѾ/ |
|
|
|
|
0.14 |
0.29 |
0.20 |
0.81 |
0.25 |
33 34ݱ ũ پ ں , ջ ǰ , 븶 ְڴ. űݾ ں ջ 翬ϴٰ ְ ǰ Ǵܵȴ. ܺλ ̶ 뿡 ̶ ʹ ʳ ȴ.( 1δ 51%)
33 ް ϱ?
װ Ÿä ջ Ҹ ְڴ. Ÿä 33 κε ַθſ μ NPLäǸ ̴.
6.
ַθ ū ַθ ſ ִٰ ִ.
ַθ ſ ä߽ɿ ˷ ִµ Ư ۿ üä ȿ , ȸ ַθμ üäȸ δ 氨ų ִ. ž ſм ȮǼ Ƿ ŭ ν 輺 ִ.
ֱٿ ַθ NPL(νä) μ, ַθſ ä߽ Ƿν ̿ ũ þ ȸ ū Ͱɼ ִٰ ִ. νä ӵ پ ְ ȸÿ ü ä߽ ȭ ǹǷ ̿ Ұ Ǹ ֱ νäǸŰ (뽺, ѱ,, Ѽ )ν £ ä δȴ.
ͳݴκп Ÿ ຸ ߺ ຸ ̰ ִ δ. ̶ ͳ Ҿ״ ۳ Ǿµ ȣ ̴. Ҿ״ ŭ ü ٴ ִ.
δ ֱ ް , BIS ҿ Ҿ ְڴ. ް ʱ ü پ ũ 븶 ü ʴ´ٸ νȭ ɼ ִٰ ȴ. Ҿſ ü ͵ ū ɸ̴.
Ҿſ Ʈ ̳ ǼⰡ ǼⰡ ȸ ִٰ ȴ. Ư Ʈ ̳ ƴμ ǹ ν ҸŰ͵ 谡 ִ.
δ ȭ ڻ ǥ Ǿ ɼ ִ. 濵 ǵ ̰ ִٴ ̴. ̰ ̳ĸ 濵 1,2 Ǯ ٴ ̴. κп ֺ 츮 ǻ ľϱⰡ ϴ.
κ ҵ ұμ ̵鿡 ΰ ۿ . Ⱑ νǴ پ Ⱑ ް ° ִ. ̰ IMF Ƶ ִ ̴.
ſҷ å üڵ ̿ ȸ ִ. ֱ ΰ ſҷڸ å Ӱ Ҵµ ̴ и ſҷڵ ̸ ְ ̷ ȸ ̴.
7. ?
ϴ PER 8̴. ַθ ũ, ֱ ް ջ ũ, ǰ Ͽ 4 ϰ Ѵ.(̰͵ ־δ)
ٸ Ȳ ϱ? PER 4.6. ó ۿ ٸ ġ 翬 ϴٰ ۿ .
ַθ ø ִ ΰ?
̷ 켱 ϴٰ Ǵ ǰ Ƹ ȸ ʹ. ÷ȴ ְڳ? (̶ ְڴ. ߰ڴ)
븶 ִ. ֱ ݸ 4.8% . Ƽ Ưݸ 4.4%̴ϱ ǻ ū ̰ . Ƹ ̻ ߱ ̴. 븶 ڸ ݸ Ѵ. ֱ ݸ ϴ ̴ ȴ.
ø ٸ ü νǴ ̰ Ÿä ȸϴ ̴. ü ִ. ü νǴ κп ַθſ ũٰ ִ. θ ִٸ ü ̴.
Ÿä ַθı̴ ַθſ ȸ ̴. ַθμ ַθſ äȸϸ鼭 ȸ ǵ Ⱑ ٶ ۿ . ַθſ ä߽ ι ۳ ʾҳ. Ƿ ѹ .
þ ִ̳ ϱ ƴ. -.-; ٸ 2003 Ұ ʳ ȴ. Ÿäȸ 븶 ؼ 100, 130, 90 ϴٰ ȴ. ̰ ߸ ̴.
PER4 ϸ 360, 簡 50% ־δ. 쿡 ؼ̴. ۳ 2б ջ ܷ Ǿµ 3б Ѻ ʿ䰡 ̴. Բ ǰ Ÿäȸ , 븶, ݼ ƾ ̴.
8. ġ
ұϰ ȴ. ߿ ַθ ѱ µ ַθ ַθſ óȿ, ѱ , ȸ ΰ ־ Ʈ ̳ پ.
ں ǽ ַ ŵ쳯 ɼ ٰ ȴ. ̵ ǽ ε ŵ쳪° θ߰ Ѻ .
̽ý м ϰ īο մϴ.
Դÿ per 2 ̳ ؼ Ѱε
ķ ջ δ Ŀ鼭 Ը ҵ մϴ.
ַ , ַθ ſ ó Դϴ.
ٸ ϽŴ ֿε ϴ մϴ.
ư Ʈ оϴ. ^^
մϴ.
ŷ ȵ
ʳ ;
о߿ ؼ
6ε
bis ߿ ѱְ
Ǿ ʳ
5000õ 7-10õ ؼ
ǥ ǥ Ͽ ֽô Ѵ ±,
ѱ ߸ ϴ ݳ κ о ưµ ŷ ٺ 1 ̻ Ұ
մå 4 ǥ ɰ ϴ,
ε νȭ ༺ å̶ ƽ , ʿ
Ը ȭ Ұ Ǹ, 籹 ٰ ä
㺸 ַ Ұ Դϴ.
մå ǥɴ ΰ ٿ ָմϴ
ͼ åμ 谡 䱸 ϰ ִ ѵ 80 ڱ ں 20% Ϸ ȭ Ͽ ž ٰ մϴ
== ߿ 谡 ڱں Ű ļä , μ պ, õ ϸ Դϴ
$$$$$ ̹ ѱ ļä 迭 ڰø ǥ Ͽϴ,,,
ѱ 迭 ڻ Ҿ ѱ10.3% 15% ҰϿ ְ ֽ ʰ , ֽ ֿ ȾƼ ں ڱ ϴ.
迭 ̶ Ƹ Ҿ ʳ ϴ.
ַθ ð 鰡 ̻ ְ Ҽ ִٰ ϴ, ް Ź 1-2 ڰ Ұ غ̴µ ñⰡ մå
ǥǴ Ұ ̶ ˴ϴ..
ַθ ǽ մϴ.
Z ѱ ּ...
///ٵ ֽ پ Ϸ 1õ ŷ
ѱ൵ ƺ̱ ϱ б Դϴ. Ź ɱ?
2002 ڹƮſݰ ijŻ ȸ ȭâԱ μϿµ ̰
75 ( ѱֽ 120 㺸) Ͽ μ,,,,, ѱ Ǿϴ..
迭 · μ Ͽϴ,,
ѱ 8.13 % ϰ ѱ1̰ 2 Դϴ,,
Ƹ ijŻ ȸ ˴ϴ///
( ε ڵ )
# Ѹ μڰ ѱ ɰ ϴ ֿ μ ⼭ ٴ±.
# 8 1Ϻη Ǵ 㺸 Ǹ ( 6.25%) Ͽ ֱٿ ȮϿ 200 ű ο ϰ ϴ.
#ݳ 4 մå ǥ ̰, 7η Ͽ 췮 о ֱⰡ ɰŶ մϴ,,
췮 ೢ Ⱦ Ӱ Ҽ ֵ ϰ,, ž ǻ Ҽ ֵ մå Ͽ ˴ϴ,,
Ѱ ~~~~˼ ˼
찳 3 鼭 غ ִµ
˷ 帱 ??????? ģ 鿡Ը ڱ 30% ż õ ְ ִµ
찳 ֵ ʰ ݵü Դϴ........
//
Ŵϱ ... ε غð 纸
????????
ũ
ݵü ȸμ Z 꿡 ؼ °Ǵ ݵü ȯ
ؾ ɰ ,
2004 12õ, 100 ̻
ں 50 ( 500, 30% 150)
2005 30% ̻ ,
$##### 3300 /////Ƹ 4000 ʹ ϰɿ,
ұԸ ϴ. ֱ ްϰ þ ʾ ݺ ϴ. δ ߵ ʽϴ. ٸ 4%ΰͰ ַθ Ϲڱݴ ݺ ΰ ð 3-4% ˴ϴ.
ַθ Ϲڱݴ ٸ Դϴ. (9-15%) ؼ սǰɼ δٴ ϰ ֽϴٸ... ǻ ڽϴ.
Ϲڱݴ : ѱ(6-24%)(6-58%)(8.5-15.5%)Ѽ(1-54%)뽺(5.5-60%)