▓ ̽ ▓
̽ ڽ ö ϰ ִ , ʵ ֽ Ⱓ Ͽ û Ҵٴ ߴ. ̽ ֽĿ Ⱓ ϴ ̷ ߴ.
"ϴ ֽ, ߿ ȸ. ϸ ̷ غϴ 濵ϴ ȸ ֽ ʽÿ. ȸ簡 ڽ ؿ ̻ յ ŵϽʽÿ."
Ͱ ְ Ѵ. ̽ ȸ簡 ̷ ְ, Ǹ 濵 濵 ϰ ִٰ ϴ γ Ѵ.
̽
1. PER < ü PER
2. PER < 5Ⱓ PER
3. ͷ > ͷ
4. ROE > ( 30%), ROA > ( 30%), ROI > ( 30%)
5. ͷ > (AAAȸä ͷ*0.67)
6. ֱ 5Ⱓ ⼺ > 10%, ֱ 3Ⱓ ⼺ > 10%
7. > 100%, ä < 100%
̽ 'ȣ'
ȭ Ե ֵθ
Ե 濵 Űȣ(82) ȸ ŵ(49) ȸ忡Է °谡 ȭ ǰ ִ ȸ ȭл ż , ι Բ ͻ ڴٰ . ̸ ȭ μ. պ Ƿߴ.
ȣ Ե ȭ Ѱ ġ ִ ̴. 79 ó ڸ ǥǰδ EG(Ethylene Glycol) ϰ ִ. EG TPA Բ ͼ ֿ ̸, EG 78% ͼ µ ҿǰ ִ. 츮 EG ڱ 50% شѴٰ Ѵ. ȣ 61%, 뼮ȭ 25%, Zdz 14% ϰ ־ ȣ+뼮(ȣ ȸ) 屸 ϰ ִ.
ȣ ̷ο
► 2001 :
ȭл ص Ȳ ް ִ 2000 2001 ȣȭ 2,000 ڱ Ͽ Ը ǽϿ. ڷ ȣȭ ƿ ɷ 24 (52%) 70 Ǿ.
2002 ȭ Ȳ ȸDZ Ͽ ȣȭ 2002 2003 317%, 216% 544 1,720 Ͽ.
► 2003 : 뼮ȭ Ը Ȯ
2003 6 26 ȣȭ 3,000 ڱ Ͽ 뼮ȭ 50% μϿ. 뼮ȭ μ 2004 繫ġ P/E 2.6, P/B 0.3 μ ȭоü valution Ͽ ſ μ ȣȭ 繫 dz 帧 Ը Ȯߴٰ ִ.
ȣȭ 뼮ȭ 2 μν ƿ õNCC ̾ 2 Ǿ, ȭкκ LGȭа ϴ 2 ü λϰ Ǿ. 뼮ȭ, KPɹĮ, ȣȭ ģ 3 ջ 4 Ѱ δ. ȣȭ 뼮ȭ μ Ⱓ 100% ȸ ̸, 뼮ȭκ Ը й ̴.
► 2004 : KPɹĮ μ
ȣȭ KPɹĮ 53.78% 1,785 μϱ üϿ. μ ѵ 尡ݺ 20% ̱ , Ա (5,945) ä(487) ä μϱ μ Ϻ ־.
ȣȭ KPɹĮ μν ȿ ȴ. ó ǰǸó Ȯ KPɹĮ ؿǸŸ Ȱ ؿܻ ȭ TPA ο 忣 Ȯ ȿ ȴ.
ȣ ū 忡 ٴ ̾. KPɹĮ 95% ϴ ̴. KPɹĮ μ ͼ 2 EG(ȣȭ), TPA(KPɹĮ) Ǹŷ ó ȿ Ÿ Ǹ KPɹĮ ؿܰ ȣ ִ Ⱑ ϰ ִ.
► 2004 : ؿ ź
Yaxing Chemical ȣȭ 75% 25% CPE 簡 3 ߱ Ǿ. ȣȭ ں 727 ̸, ۹ 2005 ʿ CPE 40,000 꿡 ̴. CPE HDPE 64%, 36% Ǹ, PVC ݺ, ABS , ַ δ. ߱ CPE ȣȭ ؿ μ ߱ ȴ.
̴ CPE 60%(2003 , 16) ϴ ߱ Ȯ ִ CPEü Yaxing( ɷ 7) ڸ ϰ Ǿ âȣȭ CPE ʿ ϴ ǰ ߱ Һ ſ ̴. ȣȭ 2005 25,000 HDPE ۹ο Ǹ ̴.
췮 繫 帧 M&A
ȣȭ , 췮 繫 帧 ó ȿ ִ о߷ M&A ϰ ִ. Ա ҵ Ȳ Ȱκ ϴ Ը Ȱϸ鼭 ȭϱ ̸, ٸ δ ٰȭϱ ̴.
ͼ Valuation
ȭб ǥְ EV/EBITDA ̿Ͽ ϴ δ.
ȭ P/E ְ Ŀ ư Ⱓ Ư ȯ Ŀ EV/EBITDA ϸ Ը Ŀ EV/EBITDAǥ Ǵܵȴ.
ǥ 4ι Valuation ȣȭ ŷ ġ ϰ ִ. EV/EBITDA Ͽ ROE, 鿡 ġ ϰ ִ. Ե ū Ư¡ ϴ ū ƽ Ҵ.
2004 ȭ , 2005ʹ ȭ
99 4Ⱓ EG ϶ Ȳ 鼭 EG ް پ ޱ 2003~2004 ϴٽ ߴ. ݸ ߱ ߽ ϴ EG䰡 ϸ鼭 EG ص ŸƮ. Դٰ 2002 ̱ ٿɹĮ ȭ EG ν ŸƮ ̰ ֱ 2Ⱓ EG ȣȲ ٺ ̴. , ߱ ߽ EG 2 EGȣȲ ̲ Դ ̴.
̷ ȣȲ 2004 ߱ ߵ EG 簳ν 2004 ϶ ȯ δ.
ȣ ֱ Ȳ ðø ٽѹ м Ź帳ϴ
...... ˼^^
ϼ