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* ó: Unigestion , "How To Position The Portfolio After The "Beta" Party," 2020 1 6, https://www.valuewalk.com/2020/01/msci-world-index/
2019 (Ϻ ϰ) ۷ι ֽĽ忡 Ǹ ؿ. MSCI ȭ 27.7% ߴµ, ̴ 1970 ټ ° ̰ 2009 ݵ ķδ ְ ̴. 2009 2019 ȭå ڻ ݻ¿ ٽ ۿߴ. 2019 忡 뷡 ϳ ڸ, ߾Ե, ༭ !( 뷡 Thanks for the Dance' ) ̰, ķź Ÿ , ҳס ̴. 츮 ̷ ξ ȭå п ڻ꿡 Ȳ ӵ ϰ ִ. ұϰ, 2020 2019 ʰ, ڻ ڻ ȭ ÷ µ ߿ . * ó: Unigestion , "How To Position The Portfolio After The "Beta" Party," 2020 1 6, https://www.valuewalk.com/2020/01/msci-world-index/
2019 MSCI , ɱ?
2019 , ߾ ߴ
2019 12 ڻ꿡 ٸ ñ⿴. 12 ֽ(+3%), ﱹ ֽ(+7.5%), ſǰ(Ŭ ۷ι ϵ +2.3%) ͷ ߴ. 12 ȭ Žð Ұ ٽ ۿߴ. 12 ä ڻ ϶ߴ(ͷ ). 10 ̱ ä ͷ 1.77% 1.92% ߴµ, ַ ÷̼ ̾ ̾.
12 Ž ũ ΰ ɸ ũ ο ̶, 2019 ȭå̾. 2019 ֿ䱹 ߾ ȭå ħü ÿ κ ڻ꿡 øµ ־. 2019 ֽĽ 27.7% ߴµ(MSCI ), ̱ ֽ (S&P 500: +30.2%) °, Ϻ ֽ ( 225: +23.8%, FTSE 100: +16.3%) ´. ﱹ ֽ · Ҵµ, װ ߱ ·(HSCEI: +16.4%) ﱹ ֽ ·(MSCI ﱹ: +19.4%) ߱ ̾. , ŸϺε ͷ ̰ Ǵ. , 2019 MSCI IT 48% ݸ MSCI ƿƼ 23% ߴ. ι ٸ ι 12.5% ͷ ߴ. Ÿ , 2019 Ƽ(MSCI Ƽ; ͼ, ɼ ) · 36% ݸ, (MSCI ; PER/PBR ̼ ǥ ) · 21% ƴ. , , ͷ · Ҵ.
ֽĽ ͷ 2019 ߴ 2009 10 ä ͷ ũ ߾(10 ̱ ä ͷ 2.2% 3.8% ), 2019 10 ä ͷ 75bp ϶ߴ(ä ; ). ̰ ٷ ȭ ̴. ȭ ڻ ÿ ½ų ִ. ̿ ä ͷ ϶ ̼ ȿ Ծ ſǰ(corporate credit) ´.
2019 ۷ι ȯ ڼ. ȭ Ϻ ȭ ȭ ؼ ݸ, Ŀȭ ij ȣ ؼ ༼ . ﱹ ȭ ȯ ƴ. ȭ ȭ ߱ ȭ ؼ , ߽ ȭ ī ȭ ؼ ༼ .
2020 ...
4 츮 ڻ ü ο( , ŵɸ, ڻ ŷ ̼), 2020 ̾߱ ߴ. 츮 Žð Ȳ ߾ ȭ ȭå Ծ ħü , ̼ǰ ɸ ڻ꿡 ȣ Ǿ ִ . 2020 ֿ ٿ ȭå̴. ξ ȭå ӵ ̸, ϰ ÿ ȭå Ȯ ɼ ִ. ̷ ȭå Žð ̰, ũ ٿ ̸, ȥ ɼ ٿ δ. κ ڻ ũ ̾ ϶ ȴ.
... ڻ л( ͷ ) Ȯ
̷ 츮 ä ǹڻ꺸ٴ ֽİ ſǰ(credit) ȣϴ ϰ ִ. źٴ ξ ū ȭ ȹ̴. 2019 Ÿ ؿٸ, 2020 ڻ ڻ л(dispersion; ͷ/ũ ) Ŀ ϱ ̴.
ڻ ͷ ϴ ̴. 2019 κ ڻ ͷ ְ ϰ ̶ 2018 ־ڴ°? 10 ȭ ȭå ÷̼ ̶ ߴ. ̷ ִ ȭ ÷̼ ʷϸ ƹ ߴ.
(ڼ ) ڻ 츮 ֽİ ſǰ ΰ, ȯij, ũij, ij ġ Ѵ. ̷ ߾ ȭ ִ ִ ̴. ̼ ð Ϻ ֽ ŷ δ.
(ũ ȸ ) л ڻ ߿ 츮 äǺٴ ̱ ä ȣѴ. ̱ غ ߾, , ߾, ߾ ȭå ξ ̴. 츮 ϵ ÷̼ з Ϳ ̱ ä ͷ ȶ ϰ ִ.
츮 ڻ ä ݺٴ ȯ лڿ ŷ ϰ ִ. ȯ 츮 ȣϴµ, ̴ ڻ꿡 ټ ߵ 츮 뷱 ߱ ؼ.
ָؾ ũ?
ü 츮 ɸ 츮 ڻп ٽ ̶ ϴ´. ù°, 2020 ɼ, ε Ҿ , Ϻ ﱹ Ҿ, Ȯ , ߵ ġ ̽ . ̷ ġ ũ ڽɸ, ǰ ͷ ĥ ɼ ũ. °, ġ ȭ Ǿ ӵ ̴. ̴--귺Ʈ 2016 ̱ 뼱 ÿ ϰ-- ġ ǵ鿡 ־ ش ش ִ. °, ̼ ̱ ɸ ΰϴ.
̷ ȯ濡 ũ ̰ MSCI ( Ʈ) Ʈ ȣ ų ʿ伺 ũ. ұϰ, ɸ ũ- м ſ ߿ϸ, ٸ κк ٷ κп ߿ϴ. ũ ľϴ δ Ʈ ȣϴ ʴ. ¡ 뿡 м, ¡ Ȯ, ¡ ȭ ñ Ǵ ũ ľϴ ŭ̳ ߿ϴ.
츮 ڵ ϴ ִ. ù° ũ ݰ װ ڻ꿡 ġ ̰, ° Dz Ȥ Dz 带 ¡ ϴ ȣȿ. Ϲȭ ȭ ڻ ͷ 踦 ȭ״. ̷ ȭ (1) ȭ 带 ̿ ȸ, (2) Ʈ ȣ ɼ 뿡 ȯ̳ ü л ϴ ȭŰ , Ѵ. ڴ Ȯϴ Ư ǿ Ʈ ΰ ν Ư ¡ ʿ伺 ٿش.
2020 ġ ũ λ DZ Ұ 츮 ū ̴. 츮 Ȯϴ ܱ ݵ ź δٴ ̴. <>
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