ġ ̱ ڸ дٰ P.273(8 ſ ֽ , ) īݶ ٵ ߿
ؾ ϴ ־ϴ.
Ʒ ϴ.
ٵ мϴ 2 ֳθƮ ٵ 2Ⱓ 30% 弼 ߴ. ٵ ְ 40谡 Ѵ 30%¥ ̴. ̷ ŷ ֽ ƴϴ. ֽĽ Ȳ 纸 ƴϴ.
ٵ м S&P500 ü PER 23迴 īݶ PER 30迴. ְ 30 15%¥ īݶ ְ 40迡 ȸ 30%¥ ٵ ߿ ϳ ϶ ٵ ̴. PER ᱹ PER ְ · ̴.
ٵ ٽ ٵ ְ ŭ 25~30% ִĿ.
뿡 ٵ ߴĿ ڼ и Ų · Ͽ. (
ʿ е ð...^0^*...)
ؼ īݶ ƴ ٵ ߴ ҽϴ...^0^*...
ΰ ҽϴ.
켱 5 PER Ͽ Դϴ.
īݶ PER 30 ٵ PER 40ٴ Դϴ. ⼭ ð 鼭
īݶ ٵ PER Դϴ.
PER ? PER Ͽ θ ϸ и īݶ PER 30 ٵ PER 40
ְ. ϴ. PER ϸ ŷ ֽϴ...^0^*...
ϱ Ʒ ǥ ҽϴ.
1. 5 | ||||||
|
PER |
|
5 PER |
| ||
īݶ |
30 |
15% |
30/(1+0.15)^5 = |
14.9 |
||
ٵ |
40 |
30% |
40/(1+0.30)^5 = |
10.8 |
GOOD |
FV = PV (1+i)^ <FV:̷ġ, PV:簡ġ, i:, n:> ٵ īݶٴ
ŷ ³...^0^*...
ù° ϱⰡ ʴٸ ι° ڽϴ...^0^...
켱 īݶ PER 30̶ ðѾ 30 ̴ϱ 1̶
ðѾ 30 ǰ. Ѹ īݶ μѴٸ 1¥ ȸ縦 30£ μϴ
Ű , ڱ ȸϴµ 30 ɸٴ°Ű.( 1, μݾ 30-->30/1-->PER3
0) 30 ̾߱ ̰. īݶ ų 15% Ѵٸ 30⺸ٴ ڱ
ȸǴ Ⱓ ª. Ʒǥ ̿...^0^*...
2. ڱȸⰣ | ||||||
|
μݾ |
PER |
|
ڱȸⰣ |
| |
īݶ |
1 |
30 |
30 |
15% |
24.3 |
|
ٵ |
1 |
40 |
40 |
30% |
14.1 |
GOOD |
*īݶ log(30/1)/log(1+0.15) = 24.3 *ٵ log(40/1)log(1+0.3) = 14.1
īݶ ڱ ȸǴ Ⱓ 24.3̰ ٵ 14.1̳. ٵ īݶٴ ξ ŷ
ȸ簡 ³. ġ ٵ ̿...^0^*...
̰ ٰ ƴ. ġ 'ٵ ٽ ٵ ְ
ִ ŭ 25~30% ִ'ƴϰڽϱ?
25~30% Ѵٸ 縮 ִ ɱ?
Ѵٰ ˴ϴ.(~ȭǥ . ߵ. ׳ н...^0^*...)
Ͽư, ȭϴԴϴٿ. ȿó.
NHNó ϴ ǽɸ ְ Ͽ ٶ ִٴ ...^0^*...
ġ Ʊ ߴ ó ٽ ' 25~30% ִ'
ٷ ̰ δ...^0^*...
( 3)